The Oakland Athletics (+145) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-175) on Friday, March 1, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EST in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Athletics are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 3-1 ATS.
Athletics vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Athletics | +145 |
| Royals | -175 |
Athletics vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.4% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Athletics Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.35 Units / 107% ROI)
- Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- JJ Bleday has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Seth Brown has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.85 Units / 95% ROI)
- Jordan Diaz has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Loftin has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+4.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Stolen Bases Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nathan Eaton has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Athletics Best Bets Today:
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.81 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+5.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Athletics are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.82 Units / 32.5% ROI).
- 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 11.4% ROI
- 3-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.8 Units / 14.81% ROI
- 2-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -25% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Royals are 3-1 against the Run Line (+2.36 Units / 45.21% ROI).
- 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 47.13% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -50.59% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 41.3% ROI
Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 32% (74/234) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 17% (53/310) against Alex Wood in the 2023 season — tied for lowest among in NL; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.
Alex Wood allowed an OBP of .312 (234 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Alex Wood had a strikeout rate of just 17% (74/429) in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters batted just .187 (50-for-267) against Cole Ragans in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed a slugging percentage of just .303 (105 Total Bases / 346 ABs) in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .422 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (76 Total Bases / 267 ABs) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .419 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 32% (192/610) against Cole Ragans in the 2023 season — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 90th Percentile.
Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.
The Athletics are just 87-61 (.588) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Athletics were just 29-79 (.269) after a loss in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Athletics are just 67-143 (.319) after a loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics
The Royals are just 11-83 (.117) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals were just 1-8 (.111) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals were just 17-12 (.586) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 9-15 (.375) after a loss as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Athletics Hitting Stats & Trends
The Athletics batted just .223 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Athletics have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Athletics won only 32% of their home games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters had an OBP of just .280 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals hitters had an OPS of just .649 (2,958 PA’s) on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Athletics Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
The Athletics allowed 5.95 runs per game (482/81) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.60.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers picked-off 19 runners from first base in the 2023 season — best in MLB.
Royals pitchers had an ERA of 5.39 (674.0 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals vs. Athletics Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Freddy Fermin (Kansas City Royals): Finger, Out
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- John McMillon (Kansas City Royals): Forearm, Out
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Out
- Brad Keller (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Back, Out
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, Out
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
- James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
- Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
- Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
- Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
- Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
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