Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 10

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San Francisco Giants' Wilmer Flores (41) throws to first against the Los Angeles Dodgers during a baseball game in San Francisco, Friday, Sept. 29, 2023. (AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
(AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 10, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Giants are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Giants TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NSBA | MLBN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-155) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 41-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 46-46 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 7-7, 3.43 ERA
  • Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 7-6, 3.10 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 7 +100+130
Giants -1.5 +145U 7 -120-155

Blue Jays vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Logan Webb has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 10 games (+10.45 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 26 away games (+9.75 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+12.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 52 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 41-50 against the Run Line (-19.3 Units / -15.61% ROI).

  • 41-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.2 Units / -13.95% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -6.6% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.55 Units / -2.54% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 46-46 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -3.22% ROI).

  • 45-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.15% ROI
  • 50-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.45 Units / 7.41% ROI
  • 39-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.3 Units / -16.01% ROI

Giants vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Giants vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Giants vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Danny Jansen (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Patrick Bailey (SF) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Giants vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Bassitt (TOR) 5.5 +110 5.5 -145
Logan Webb (SF) 5.5 +120 5.5 -155

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (16/129) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.5 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (258 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (22/185) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (90/317) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — first Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 44% of the time (674/1,541) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of just 20% (48 SO in 245 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — sixth Percentile.

Logan Webb has thrown his changeup 39% of the time (1,947/5,043) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Blue Jays are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.

The Blue Jays are 28-25 (.528) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Blue Jays are just 8-44 (.154) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Blue Jays are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Giants are just 25-45 (.357) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 5-39 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .057.

The Giants are 10-112 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,399 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .559.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,160 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

Blue Jays hitters have just 140 strikeouts in 755 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Giants hitters have 39 strikeouts in 90 PA’s (43%) against LHP over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters have 39 strikeouts in 97 PA’s (40%) against LHP this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Giants hitters have drawn 225 walks in 2,264 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants hitters have 1,164 strikeouts in 4,763 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 1,131 of 15,590 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Giants vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.