- The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RSN | MLBN | BSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on Thursday, March 28, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 0-0 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +115 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s game with 53.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the RBIs Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rene Pinto has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Over in his last 2 games (+3.95 Units / 198% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Harold Ramirez has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games at home (+18.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 94 of their last 164 games (+14.09 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+8.36 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 99 of their last 164 games (+8.05 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin the 2023 season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .139 (52-for-374) against Jose Berrios with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 91st Percentile.
Jose Berrios threw his curveball 31% of the time (240/781) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 96th Percentile.
46 of Jose Berrios’ 184 strikeouts (25%) came on changeups in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 91st Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (95/490) versus Zach Eflin in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed an OBP of just .180 (372 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.
Zach Eflin’s K:BB ratio was 7.8 (186/24) in the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 — 97th Percentile.
Zach Eflin allowed a slugging percentage of just .133 (11 Total Bases / 83 ABs) on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .404 — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 158-36 (.814) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Blue Jays are 68-103 (.398) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Blue Jays were 12-7 (.632) after a loss as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 18-13 (.581) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.
The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are just 11-26 (.297) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
27% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters had 107 extra-base hits out of 340 total hits (just 32%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Blue Jays have a winning percentage of 56% on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .284 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays won 61% of games in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers had an ERA of 3.90 (706.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, Out
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Cavan Biggio (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
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