- The Twins are -190 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+150) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-185) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Blue Jays are 67-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 64-71 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-6, 4.85 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-6, 4.06 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -140 | O 8.5 -110 | +150 |
| Twins | -1.5 +115 | U 8.5 -110 | -185 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 61.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 42 games (+33.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+15.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+13.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 42 games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Vazquez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 26 games (+24.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+14.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Edouard Julien has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 17 games at home (+13.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games (+13.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 50 away games (+14.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 70 away games (+5.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 54% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 69 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 63 games at home (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+5.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 59 games (+4.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 115 games (+4.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 68-70 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -7.31% ROI).
- 67-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -6.6% ROI
- 73-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.75 Units / 3.82% ROI
- 61-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.8 Units / -13.11% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 64-71 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -5.51% ROI).
- 73-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -2.48% ROI
- 69-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 2.21% ROI
- 60-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.25 Units / -10.99% ROI
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Wallner (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willi Castro (MIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Kepler (MIN) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carlos Santana (MIN) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +125 |
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (36/181) against Yariel Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to August 10th — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.
Yariel Rodriguez has walked 31 of 282 batters (11%) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (22/79) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (42/138) against Bailey Ober in two-strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .535 (54 Total Bases / 101 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .143 (31-for-217) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (128/379) against Bailey Ober this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 38-30 (.559) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 44-29 (.603) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 20-17 (.541) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Blue Jays are just 14-62 (.184) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are 131-2 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Twins are just 26-35 (.426) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 25-97 (.205) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are 19-15 (.559) after a road win this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 494 strikeouts in 2,533 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,931 strikeouts in 10,121 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 226 strikeouts in 1,128 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 740 strikeouts in 3,772 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins have scored 1.81 runs per game (244/135) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.42.
Twins hitters have an OPS of .768 (3,571 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Twins hitters have an OBP of .330 (8,583 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Twins hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 54% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .269 (1,199 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 790 of 11,042 batters (7%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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