Braves vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:51 AM
  • The Cardinals (73-54) are -125 favorites vs the Braves (79-49)
  • Braves starting pitcher: Jacob Odorizzi (5-5), 3.95 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (9-9), 3.10 ERA
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Atlanta Braves (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Braves vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Braves are 77-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 69-55 ATS.

Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Braves+1.5 -200O 8 -115+105
Cardinals -1.5 +165U 8 -105-125

Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Braves and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Braves and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 68 of his last 116 games (+20.05 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 57 of his last 78 games (+18.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 40 away games (+17.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 11 away games (+13.10 Units / 119% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 40 games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 46 games at home (+17.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 46 games at home (+17.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games at home (+14.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 games (+12.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 102 games (+24.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 104 games (+5.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 66-59 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.32% ROI).

  • 77-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.02% ROI
  • 63-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 2.42% ROI
  • 54-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -11.1% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 69-55 against the Run Line (+12.1 Units / 7.82% ROI).

  • 70-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 5.09% ROI
  • 58-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -7.16% ROI
  • 61-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.78% ROI

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 48% of the time (790/1,645) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 10% (8/84) against Jake Odorizzi on inside fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (496/987) with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Jake Odorizzi has thrown elevated pitches 45% of the time (698/1,554) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (78/255) against Adam Wainwright this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Adam Wainwright has thrown breaking pitches 58% of the time (675/1,161) when behind in the count since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (192/1,071) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (71/405) against Adam Wainwright this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — seventh Percentile.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Braves are 70-14 (.833) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Braves are 44-10 (.815) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

The Braves are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 42-24 (.636) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Cardinals are 41-22 (.651) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Cardinals are 61-19 (.762) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Cardinals are 11-4 (.733) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 59-3 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Braves hitters are slugging .669 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .553.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .801 (1,295 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Braves hitters are slugging .307 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Braves hitters are slugging .445 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .798 (2,350 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .553 on the road this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Cardinals hitters have 233 extra-base hits out of 544 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Braves pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (122.4 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.1).

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers this month (25 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 118 double plays in 937 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The longest HR allowed by the Cardinals pitchers this season traveled 494.0 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 459.6

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Orlando Arcia (Braves): Hamstring, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Jackson Stephens (Braves): Concussion, D7
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Chadwick Tromp (Braves): Quad, D10
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.