- The Braves are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Braves vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Yankees TV Channel: BSSE | YES | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Braves are 42-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 46-33 ATS.
Braves vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 6-3, 3.10 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 4-5, 3.38 ERA
Braves vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | O 9 -110 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -110 | -105 |
Braves vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games (+20.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 33 away games (+13.04 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 away games (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.90 Units / 17% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 45 games (+21.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 games (+20.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 56 games (+18.19 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 48 games (+16.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 79 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 35-39 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -5.07% ROI).
- 42-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -6.53% ROI
- 28-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.65 Units / -23.08% ROI
- 43-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.25 Units / 14.92% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 46-33 against the Run Line (+17.95 Units / 19.01% ROI).
- 52-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 12.02% ROI
- 39-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -3.28% ROI
- 38-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.8 Units / -5.52% ROI
Yankees vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Yankees vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Yankees vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Max Fried (ATL) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (172/396) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since last season (57 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 90.3
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.2 MPH this season (191 balls in play) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (205 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 80.7
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (87/271) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has averaged 77.3 MPH on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 84.9 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .297 (19-for-64) against Nestor Cortes’ elevated fastball this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .208 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .129 (4-for-31) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .257 — 96th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 50-52 (.490) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are 17-74 (.187) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Yankees are 24-19 (.558) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 3-21 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Yankees are 9-10 (.474) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are 17-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .467 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters are slugging .458 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
The Braves are batting .315 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters are slugging .690 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have an OPS of .785 (2,222 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Yankees hitters are slugging .716 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Yankees hitters are slugging .450 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,062 of their 8,972 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,731 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have won 57% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .200 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Yankees pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 28% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 78 of 796 batters (10%) this month (20 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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