- The Brewers are -105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers starting pitcher: Adrian Houser
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Zachary Thompson
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (-105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-115) on Wednesday, September 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Brewers vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Brewers are 85-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 73-78 ATS.
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Brewers and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+16.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+13.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Walker has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 games at home (+13.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+11.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+10.85 Units / 44% ROI)
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Masyn Winn | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Houser | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Zack Thompson | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 83 games (+12.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.11 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 56 away games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.23 Units / 23% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.13 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 48% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 81 games (+4.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 74-77 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -3.59% ROI).
- 85-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 3.55% ROI
- 68-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.35 Units / -10.98% ROI
- 78-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 2.03% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 73-78 against the Run Line (-11.6 Units / -6.05% ROI).
- 67-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.45 Units / -15.88% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.25 Units / -4.35% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -4.19% ROI
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Houser has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season (153 balls in play) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: 89.8
Adrian Houser has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.4 MPH against his curves since the 2021 season (95 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: 87.3
Adrian Houser’s highest spin rate on curveballs inside since the 2021 season is 2240.0 RPM — fewest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: 2800.3
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 52% (49/95) against Adrian Houser on curveballs since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Thompson has limited playing time.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 20-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 43-25 (.632) after a home loss since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Brewers are 61-10 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Brewers are 25-23 (.521) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are just 3-64 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cardinals are 10-133 (.070) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers have hit 1,399 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Brewers hitters had a swing rate of just 26% on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Brewers are 20-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers have barrels in 3% of PA’s since last season (347/11,746) — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 3%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 29-46 (.377) against the run line (-30.2% ROI) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Cardinals have hit 1,024 balls in play with an exit velocity over 100 MPH this season — 2nd most in MLB.
The Cardinals have hit 1,633 balls in play with an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Cardinals hitters had an OPS of .809 (1,363 PA’s) against LHP in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Brewers pitchers have allowed the 3rd hardest ball in play hit (115.3 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 117.0).
Brewers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 2,817 times since last season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
The Brewers pitchers have allowed 250 barreled balls since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 1,659 times since last season — 2nd fewest in MLB.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 105 MPH 388 times this season — 5th most in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 100 MPH 975 times this season — tied for 4th most in MLB.
Cardinals pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 1,660 times this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Giovanny Gallegos (Cardinals): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Romero (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Patrick Naughton (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Brendan Donovan (Cardinals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler O’Neill (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Nolan Gorman (Cardinals): Hamstring, D10
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Lat, D15
- Wilking Rodríguez (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Burleson (Cardinals): Thumb, Day-to-Day
- Guillermo Zuñiga (Cardinals): Forearm, D60
- Dylan Carlson (Cardinals): Oblique, D10
- Thyago Vieira (Brewers): Calf, D15
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
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