- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Giants
- Cardinals vs Giants Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Giants TV Channel: BSMW | NSBA
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-125) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Cardinals are 82-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 80-80 ATS.
Cardinals vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 8-8, 3.70 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Tristan Beck 0-0, 1.59 ERA
Cardinals vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -115 | +105 |
| Giants | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -105 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+23.90 Units / 239% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 24 games (+13.55 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+11.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+9.95 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+21.20 Units / 265% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 48 games (+9.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Grant McCray has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+8.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 28 away games (+6.20 Units / 19% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 119 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 128 games (+6.08 Units / 4% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 82-78 against the Run Line (-3.85 Units / -1.77% ROI).
- 82-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -3.13% ROI
- 73-80 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.5 Units / -8.86% ROI
- 80-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -0.43% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 80-80 against the Run Line (-6.9 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 79-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 82-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 2.42% ROI
- 71-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.2 Units / -10.89% ROI
Giants vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Luken Baker (STL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1400 |
Giants vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Giants vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Giants vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 75% (122/163) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (22/168) against Andre Pallante with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (215/348) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (60/94) against Andre Pallante on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tristan Beck has walked 10 of 241 right-handed batters (4%) since last season — tied for 3rd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .093 (5-for-54) against Tristan Beck’s elevated fastball since last season — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .210 — 98th Percentile.
Tristan Beck has walked 23 of 403 batters (6%) since last season — tied for 12th best among among 179 qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .159 (20-for-126) against Tristan Beck’s fastball since last season — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .257 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 40-20 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 44-27 (.620) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 53-56 (.486) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Giants are 131-4 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Giants are 196-6 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are 46-30 (.605) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Giants are just 38-41 (.481) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.364) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
Cardinals hitters have put 42% of their swings in play against LHP this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have just 24 strikeouts in 144 PA’s (17%) against LHP over the last 14 days — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Cardinals are batting .250 with two outs since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 1,346 strikeouts in 5,391 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .220 with two outs since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .233 (6,576 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Giants are batting just .223 with two outs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
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