Cardinals vs Reds Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cardinals (50-44) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (34-57)
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-7), 3.00 ERA
  • Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (4-2), 4.44 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSOH

The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Cardinals are 50-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 42-49 ATS.

Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +105O 10 -105-150
Reds +1.5 -125U 10 -115+125

Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 72.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 65% ROI)

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+19.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 58 games (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+16.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)

Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Joey Votto 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Jonathan India 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Nick Senzel 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Joey Votto 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jonathan India 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Kyle Farmer 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nick Senzel 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brandon Drury 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Joey Votto 0.5 +115 0.5 -165
Jonathan India 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Kyle Farmer 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Nick Senzel 0.5 +210 0.5 -300

Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Wainwright 4.5 +100 4.5 -145
Graham Ashcraft 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 65 games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 65 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 51-43 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.72% ROI).

  • 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
  • 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -6.93% ROI
  • 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.18% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -11.97% ROI).

  • 34-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -13.78% ROI
  • 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 5.79% ROI
  • 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -15.37% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (129/755) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (51/167) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (9/49) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (47/282) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.

Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (59/99) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (626/916) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .213 (61 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (76/449) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Cardinals are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cardinals are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Reds are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Reds are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Reds are just 16-29 (.356) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Reds are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals hitters have 195 extra-base hits out of 459 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (753 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Reds hitters have an OBP of just .280 (411 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Reds hitters are slugging just .338 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.

The Reds have a winning percentage of just 37% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 94 double plays in 693 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 834 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (415.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.

Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 717 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Reds pitchers have walked 22 of 131 batters (17%) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
  • Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
  • Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
  • Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
  • Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
  • Edmundo Sosa (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
  • Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.