- The Cardinals (50-44) are -150 favorites vs the Reds (34-57)
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Adam Wainwright (6-7), 3.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Douglas Ashcraft (4-2), 4.44 ERA
- Watch the game on BSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Cardinals vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Cardinals are 50-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 42-49 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | O 10 -105 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -125 | U 10 -115 | +125 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s matchup with 72.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cardinals and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.55 Units / 41% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.60 Units / 65% ROI)
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Drury has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+19.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 58 games (+19.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+16.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- Albert Almora Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 66% ROI)
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Drury | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Senzel | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Wainwright | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -145 |
| Graham Ashcraft | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+6.15 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+5.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.80 Units / 71% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 36 of their last 65 games (+6.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 65 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 51-43 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 3.72% ROI).
- 50-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.12% ROI
- 44-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.2 Units / -6.93% ROI
- 46-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -2.18% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cardinals have gone 42-49 against the Run Line (-13.6 Units / -11.97% ROI).
- 34-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 5.79% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.45 Units / -15.37% ROI
Adam Wainwright: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (129/755) against Adam Wainwright this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (51/167) against Adam Wainwright this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 18% (9/49) against Adam Wainwright with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 17% (47/282) against Adam Wainwright this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Douglas Ashcraft: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (59/99) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (626/916) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OBP of just .213 (61 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (76/449) against Graham Ashcraft this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 41-2 (.953) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cardinals are 39-2 (.951) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Cardinals are 29-20 (.592) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Cardinals are 21-5 (.808) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 24-6 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Reds are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Reds are just 16-29 (.356) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Reds are 9-5 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 195 extra-base hits out of 459 total hits (42%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .338 (753 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 41% in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .280 (411 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Reds hitters are slugging just .338 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 37% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Reds are batting just .226 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 94 double plays in 693 opportunities (14%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 80 of 834 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have an ERA of 5.29 (415.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 717 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 22 of 131 batters (17%) over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
- Luis Cessa (Reds): Back, D15
- Aristides Aquino (Reds): Calf, D10
- Arthur Warren (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Knee, D60
- Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): COVID, D10
- Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D10
- Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Mahle (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Ross Detwiler (Reds): Back, D15
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Jack Flaherty (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Harrison Bader (Cardinals): Foot, D10
- Dakota Hudson (Cardinals): Neck, D15
- Juan Yepez (Cardinals): Forearm, D10
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D15
- Edmundo Sosa (Cardinals): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Yadier Molina (Cardinals): Knee, D10
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Reds vs Cardinals and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.