Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Cardinals vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (-130) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+110) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Cardinals are 80-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 78-79 ATS.

Cardinals vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-9, 3.38 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber 5-11, 4.72 ERA

Cardinals vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals-1.5 +120O 10.5 -120-130
Rockies +1.5 -145U 10.5 +100+110

Cardinals vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 34 games (+20.50 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Erick Fedde has hit the Earned Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+9.65 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games at home (+17.25 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+16.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+8.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games at home (+12.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+7.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.05 Units / 44% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 80-77 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -2.37% ROI).

  • 80-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.1 Units / -3.77% ROI
  • 71-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.4 Units / -9.56% ROI
  • 79-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 78-79 against the Run Line (-13.8 Units / -7.27% ROI).

  • 60-97 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.09% ROI
  • 75-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.6 Units / -5.59% ROI
  • 77-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -3.09% ROI

Rockies vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Rockies vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pedro Pages (STL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Hunter Goodman (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rockies vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paul Goldschmidt (STL) 0.5 -105 0.5 -125
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Jordan Walker (STL) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Masyn Winn (STL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Thomas Saggese (STL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Erick Fedde (STL) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Austin Gomber (COL) 3.5 +105 3.5 -135

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (508/878) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (522/1,040) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 21% (36 SO in 174 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — fourth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (465/878) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 17% (113 SO in 674 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .537 (130 Total Bases / 242 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .306 (74-for-242) against Austin Gomber when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.

Austin Gomber has struck out just 16% (84/515) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

The Cardinals are 40-20 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 53-56 (.486) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Rockies are just 83-34 (.703) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.

The Rockies are just 48-9 (.828) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Rockies are just 6-10 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.

The Rockies are just 88-22 (.793) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.370) against the run line (-30.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Cardinals hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.

The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

The Cardinals are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .153.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 28% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Rockies had an average HR distance of 411.3 feet in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.

The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.