- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Tigers
- Cardinals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Tigers TV Channel: BSMW | BSDT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-120) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Cardinals are 13-15 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 12-16 ATS.
Cardinals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 2-2, 4.36 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 4.97 ERA
Cardinals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +160 | O 8.5 -115 | +100 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -210 | U 8.5 -105 | -120 |
Cardinals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 76% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.90 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.50 Units / 68% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+9.30 Units / 155% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 66% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 74% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.95 Units / 38% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 away games (+5.65 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 68 of their last 135 games (+12.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 16-12 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 10.14% ROI).
- 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -8.04% ROI
- 9-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -31.77% ROI
- 17-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 23.82% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 12-16 against the Run Line (-4.5 Units / -12.15% ROI).
- 16-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 10.52% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -4.49% ROI
Tigers vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Tigers vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 58% (268/460) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (136/249) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strikeout rate of just 16% (7 SO in 45 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .350 (14-for-40) against Kyle Gibson when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (25/49) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (58/95) when behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 61% of the time (58/95) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (28/61) against Jack Flaherty when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cardinals are 28-11 (.718) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 15-25 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are just 4-90 (.043) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Cardinals are just 36-48 (.429) after a win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Tigers are just 22-133 (.142) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 78-98 (.443) at home since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Tigers are just 20-89 (.183) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Tigers are 39-12 (.765) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .299 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .591 (289 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .701.
The Cardinals are batting just .189 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Cardinals are batting just .195 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (9,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .645 (9,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .373 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 109 of 1,681 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 272 of 3,127 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 22 of 441 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.93 (584.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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