- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele
- Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder
- Watch the game on TBS
The Chicago Cubs (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-140) on Tuesday, September 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Cubs vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Cubs are 82-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 80-76 ATS.
Cubs vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -165 | O 9.5 -120 | +115 |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | U 9.5 +100 | -140 |
Cubs vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 76.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Cubs and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 42 games (+17.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 43 games (+13.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.30 Units / 45% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.70 Units / 97% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 38 games (+16.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+13.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Braves vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Braves vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christopher Morel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Sean Murphy | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Justin Steele | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 94 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.62 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 63 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 85 of their last 147 games (+19.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 47 games at home (+13.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+10.04 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 99 games (+8.25 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+8.07 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Cubs have gone 78-78 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.19% ROI).
- 82-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -0.63% ROI
- 77-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -3.15% ROI
- 74-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.1 Units / -5.93% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 80-76 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- 100-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.05 Units / 2.16% ROI
- 88-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +16.25 Units / 9.42% ROI
- 65-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -31.45 Units / -18.41% ROI
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (790/1,747) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (314/693) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (314/693) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,108/2,588) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Elder has a strikeout rate of just 18% (126 SO in 710 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has a strikeout rate of just 36% (126 SO in 354 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — eighth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (140/239) against Bryce Elder this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Bryce Elder has an average fastball velocity of just 89.8 MPH this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.9 — sixth Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cubs are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are 17-14 (.548) after a loss as underdogs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Cubs are just 10-19 (.345) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Cubs are just 32-37 (.464) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .583.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Braves are 28-44 (.389) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .220.
The Braves are 162-34 (.827) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
The Braves are 19-8 (.704) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .517 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Cubs hitters are slugging .507 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of .868 (310 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .332 (4,316 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Braves vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Yonny Chirinos (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Charles Morton (Braves): Finger, D15
- Samuel Hilliard (Braves): Heel, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Max Fried (Braves): Finger Blister, D15
- Daysbel Hernández (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Nick Anderson (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Collin McHugh (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Michael Fulmer (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Jeimer Candelario (Cubs): Back, D10
- Bradley Boxberger (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Brandon Hughes (Cubs): Knee, D60
- Nicholas Burdi (Cubs): Appendicitis, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Forearm, D15
- Nicklaus Madrigal (Cubs): Hamstring, D10
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