- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: FS1 | MARQ | BSWI
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 38-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 44-38 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 0-3, 3.08 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 5-2, 3.14 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -135 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+12.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+10.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+9.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 78 games (+9.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.20 Units / 31% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-44 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -12.61% ROI).
- 38-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -8.36% ROI
- 35-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -16.87% ROI
- 46-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.65 Units / 8.37% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 44-38 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 2.87% ROI).
- 49-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.55 Units / 14.35% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.2 Units / 8.03% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.4 Units / -15.88% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (659/1,492) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,108/2,492) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 61% (17 SO in 28 PAs) with two-strikes — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (441/980) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (17 Total Bases / 85 ABs) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .409 (91 PA’s) this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .717 — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .200 (17 Total Bases / 85 ABs) this month (4 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 63% (19/30) against Tobias Myers this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 17-35 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Cubs are just 3-13 (.188) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Cubs are just 13-25 (.342) after a win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Cubs are just 2-33 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 31-60 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 58-55 (.513) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Brewers are 56-31 (.644) after a home loss since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Brewers are 5-1 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,402 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Brewers hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 56 total hits (just 16%) against LHP this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .290 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Brewers hitters have 47 extra-base hits out of 201 total hits (just 23%) this month (25 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 69 of 736 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 8 of 61 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Brewers have have still managed to win 33% of the time since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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