- The Pirates are -165 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cubs / Pirates TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+140) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-165) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cubs are 67-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 73-59 ATS.
Cubs vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 3-10, 6.44 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 8-2, 2.17 ERA
Cubs vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -150 | O 8 +100 | +140 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -120 | -165 |
Cubs vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+23.75 Units / 56% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 49 games (+23.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+17.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+17.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games (+24.90 Units / 208% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nick Gonzales has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+9.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 28 away games (+5.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 93 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (+1.60 Units / 1% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 65-68 against the Run Line (-14.95 Units / -8.23% ROI).
- 67-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -0.86% ROI
- 60-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -10.2% ROI
- 68-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.1 Units / 1.44% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 73-59 against the Run Line (+10.66 Units / 6.22% ROI).
- 62-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -6% ROI
- 63-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 64-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.47 Units / -3.1% ROI
Pirates vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Pirates vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Yasmani Grandal (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Pirates vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Yasmani Grandal (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Kyle Hendricks (CHC) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -175 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 57% of the time (599/1,048) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .357 (41-for-115) against Kyle Hendricks’ elevated fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .223 — 0 Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 46% of the time (494/1,081) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Hendricks has thrown his changeup 54% of the time (774/1,423) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 39% (42 SO in 107 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has walked 5 of 22 left-handed batters (23%) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (44/91) this month (4 games) — lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Paul Skenes has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .310 — 97th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 24-7 (.774) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Cubs are just 54-49 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are just 8-112 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 8-24 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Pirates are just 47-64 (.423) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Pirates are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging .436 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cubs are batting .287 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting just .227 at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .323 (5,838 PA’s) on the road since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Pirates hitters have 207 strikeouts in 605 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .497 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are batting just .237 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 58 double plays in 927 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 105 of 1,178 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (588.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.
Cubs pitchers have 213 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,588 of 17,522 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have an ERA of 4.66 (1465.2 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Pirates pitchers this month (24 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
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