- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Astros TV Channel: SNLA | SCHN | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Dodgers are 62-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 54-50 ATS.
Dodgers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: River Ryan 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 4-8, 5.70 ERA
Dodgers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -110 | +100 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -110 | -120 |
Dodgers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+20.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Cavan Biggio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 49 games (+25.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 21 games at home (+24.50 Units / 117% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+16.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+16.65 Units / 27% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 46 games (+17.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+13.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+10.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 52-54 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -5.83% ROI).
- 62-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.95 Units / -6.83% ROI
- 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -1.8% ROI
- 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -7.18% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 54-50 against the Run Line (+4.95 Units / 3.84% ROI).
- 55-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.01% ROI
- 42-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.35 Units / -19.61% ROI
- 59-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.8 Units / 11.12% ROI
Astros vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| River Ryan (LAD) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
River Ryan had a strike rate of just 57% (42/73) in his last start — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
River Ryan walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) in his last start — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 18% (7/38) against River Ryan in his last start — tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — sixth Percentile.
River Ryan has walked 3 of 22 batters (14%) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 7% — eighth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .405 (153 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.062 (151 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .749 — first Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .444 (151 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .321 — first Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has walked 17 of 153 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Dodgers are 241-46 (.840) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 28-15 (.651) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers are 141-26 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Astros are just 0-37 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Astros are just 3-8 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 41-34 (.547) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Astros are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .365 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (11,965 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.223 (2,074 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (10,432 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 844 strikeouts in 4,778 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have just 523 strikeouts in 2,928 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
16% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (627/3,936 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,195 of 15,837 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have walked 373 of 3,908 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.4 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.6
The Astros have allowed 3.82 runs per game (822/215) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Astros vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
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