- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-105) on Sunday, May 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 27-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 22-20 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 0-0, 6.76 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 2-1, 2.94 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 7.5 -105 | -115 |
| Padres | +1.5 -185 | U 7.5 -115 | -105 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+17.10 Units / 214% ROI)
- James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+13.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 19 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+19.90 Units / 166% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+12.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 61 away games (+17.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 122 games (+15.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 58 games at home (+9.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 22-19 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 1.87% ROI).
- 27-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 0.96% ROI
- 21-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 19-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -8.97% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 22-20 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 7.98% ROI).
- 21-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -3.3% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.7 Units / -1.53% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -6.87% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yu Darvish (SD) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 30th, 2022 — the longest active streak is 5.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 80% (12/15) against Yu Darvish on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 38% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 69% (11/16) against Yu Darvish on inside fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 0 Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown his slider 48% of the time (269/557) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (80/147) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 46-16 (.742) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 213-34 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 29-9 (.763) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 87-39 (.690) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are just 5-17 (.227) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Padres are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Padres are just 7-136 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Padres are just 4-145 (.027) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (10,067 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .344 (5,558 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (10,067 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .353 (828 PA’s) with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting just .206 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .637 (393 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Padres hitters have an OBP of .344 (790 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 4 of 193 batters (2%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 21 of 414 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,921 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (4,889 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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