The New York Mets (+120) visit Publix Field at Joker Marchant Stadium to take on the Detroit Tigers (-145) on Thursday, March 21, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Lakeland, FL.
This season, the Mets are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 1-0 ATS.
Mets vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Mets | +120 |
| Tigers | -145 |
Mets vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s matchup with 55.2% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+1.75 Units / 175% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the RBIs Under in his last away game (+1.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.25 Units / 105% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Zack Short has hit the Runs Over in his last game at home (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Andre Lipcius has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 48% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 151 games (+15.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 54.05% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 1-0 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 67.57% ROI).
- 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.42 Units / 142% ROI
- 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 92.59% ROI
- 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.12 Units / -100% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dominic Hamel is making his MLB debut today.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning allowed a BABIP of .216 in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (21/140) versus Matt Manning on non-fastballs in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 22% (114/514) against Matt Manning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 15% (20/131) versus Matt Manning on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mets were just 6-39 (.133) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Mets are 151-2 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mets were just 2-72 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Mets are 46-28 (.622) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Tigers were 31-9 (.775) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are just 8-14 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 20-126 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 32-41 (.438) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .343 (764 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Mets hitters had a groundball batting average of just .228 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mets batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have answered-back in just 21% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers hitters slugged just .171 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters slugged just .410 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Mets pitchers walked 591 of 6,084 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mets pitchers threw at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (119.5 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Riley Greene (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, Out
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Mason Englert (Detroit Tigers): Hip, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, Out
- Yacksel Rios (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, Out
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