Mets vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 22, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mets (79-44) are -160 favorites vs the Yankees (74-48)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer (9-2), 2.14 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán (1-2), 4.44 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-160) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (+135) on Monday, August 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Mets vs Yankees Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 78-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-67 ATS.

Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +105O 7.5 -120-160
Yankees +1.5 -130U 7.5 +100+135

Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 41 games (+22.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 39 of his last 62 away games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 28 away games (+13.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+13.60 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 46 of his last 64 games at home (+16.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+14.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Josh Donaldson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.05 Units / 24% ROI)

Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Jose Trevino 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Jose Trevino 0.5 -165 0.5 +120

Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Anthony Rizzo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
DJ LeMahieu 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jose Trevino 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Domingo German 4.5 -125 4.5 -110
Max Scherzer 6.5 -160 6.5 +115
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 123 games (+15.12 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 48 of their last 89 games (+6.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.60 Units / 35% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 67-53 against the Run Line (+16.6 Units / 11.36% ROI).

  • 78-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.35 Units / 12.26% ROI
  • 62-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.55 Units / 4.17% ROI
  • 51-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.7 Units / -12.71% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 52-67 against the Run Line (-16.95 Units / -12.31% ROI).

  • 73-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -0.76% ROI
  • 56-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -6.13% ROI
  • 58-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -2.71% ROI

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .222 (573 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (67-for-375) against Max Scherzer versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 99th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (97/325) against Max Scherzer since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.

Max Scherzer has a strikeout rate of 55% (134 SO in 244 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Domingo Germán: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Domingo German has struck out just 9% (4/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (8/29) against Domingo German — 10th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

Domingo German has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.2 innings he’s appeared — David Phelps has the longest active streak at 61.1.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 18% (3/17) against Domingo German — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mets are 59-5 (.922) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Mets are 28-5 (.848) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .710.

The Mets are 66-18 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Mets are 38-5 (.884) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Yankees are 9-31 (.225) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .115.

The Yankees are 32-10 (.762) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

The Yankees are 31-28 (.525) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .471.

The Yankees are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of .263 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (3,236 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

The Mets have scored first in 71% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 64% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .748 (1,462 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .683.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of .752 (3,330 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have walked 158 of 2,482 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 68 of 1,100 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 392.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.6

Yankees vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Achilles, D10
  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Clayton Holmes (Yankees): Back, D15
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tomás Nido (Mets): Illness, D10
  • Taijuan Walker (Mets): Back, Day-to-Day
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Side, D15
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Eduardo Escobar (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Luis Guillorme (Mets): Groin, D10
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Stephen Nogosek (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.