• The Mets (98-61) are -275 favorites vs the Nationals (55-104)
• Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-8), 4.30 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker (12-5), 3.58 ERA
• Watch the game on SNY

The Washington Nationals (+220) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-275) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Flushing, Queens.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Nationals vs Mets Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 55-104 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 84-75 ATS.

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Mets and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 32 of his last 45 away games (+23.40 Units / 50% ROI)
• Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 50 games (+20.40 Units / 20% ROI)
• Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 46 away games (+18.05 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 44 of his last 60 games (+24.15 Units / 20% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 58 of his last 77 games (+20.00 Units / 12% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 46 games at home (+19.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 63 away games (+10.65 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 24 away games (+10.50 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 away games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 78 away games (+8.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 92 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 72 games at home (+21.32 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 121 games (+13.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+11.05 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.95 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 84 of their last 159 games (+6.95 Units / 3% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 71-88 against the Run Line (-23.75 Units / -12.44% ROI).

• 55-104 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -10.13% ROI
• 74-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.65 Units / -5.47% ROI
• 76-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -2.67% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 84-75 against the Run Line (+6.95 Units / 3.5% ROI).

• 98-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.73% ROI
• 84-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +9 Units / 5.12% ROI
• 68-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.2 Units / -13.86% ROI

Paolo Espino: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taijuan Walker: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

• Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Hamstring, D15
• Brett Baty (Mets): Thumb, D10
• Mychal Givens (Mets): Undisclosed, D15
• Darin Ruf (Mets): Neck, D10
• John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
• Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
• Raymond Hunter (Mets): Back, D15
• Starling Marte (Mets): Hand, D10
• Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

• Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
• MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
• Keibert Ruiz (Nationals): Groin, D10
• Nelson Cruz (Nationals): Eyes, Day-to-Day
• Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
• William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
• Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
• Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
• Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
• Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
• Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
• Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
• Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
• Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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