- The Orioles are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Orioles vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Cardinals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSMW
The Baltimore Orioles (-150) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+125) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Orioles are 29-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 23-24 ATS.
Orioles vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 2.64 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 1-2, 4.17 ERA
Orioles vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -120 | -150 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -130 | U 9 +100 | +125 |
Orioles vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 39 games (+37.45 Units / 96% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+18.35 Units / 102% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 44 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 18 games (+23.80 Units / 132% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.85 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+10.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 44 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 36 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 73% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 23-22 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 9.12% ROI).
- 29-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 6.8% ROI
- 23-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 18-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.55 Units / -15.19% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 23-24 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -4.75% ROI).
- 21-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.25 Units / -14.28% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -1.75% ROI
Cardinals vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cedric Mullins (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Cardinals vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Kyle Bradish (BAL) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .236 (61 Total Bases / 258 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last seven starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 10.
Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .330 (220 Total Bases / 667 ABs) since last season — tied for 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .417 — 96th Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 48.1.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has a strike rate of just 60% (491/814) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed a slugging percentage of .488 (160 Total Bases / 328 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — sixth Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (479/814) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has allowed an OBP of .351 (368 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-30 (.474) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Cardinals are just 17-28 (.378) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are just 26-34 (.433) after a home loss since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Cardinals are 28-12 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 50-53 (.485) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .845 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Orioles hitters are slugging .505 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Orioles hitters have 57 extra-base hits out of 136 total hits (42%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of .340 (534 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals have not scored first in any of their games against division opponents this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Cardinals are batting just .203 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .689 (2,061 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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