- The Twins are -165 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles vs Twins Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Orioles / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | MAS2 | ESPN+
The Baltimore Orioles (+125) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-150) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Orioles are 90-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 72-89 ATS.
Orioles vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 8-7, 3.75 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 12-8, 3.94 ERA
Orioles vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -115 | +125 |
| Twins | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -105 | -150 |
Orioles vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Urias has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 24 games (+33.50 Units / 140% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+19.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 48 games (+11.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Royce Lewis has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Royce Lewis has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 86 games (+17.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 114 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 152 games (+16.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 60 away games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 55 of their last 95 games (+16.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 75 games at home (+9.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 86-75 against the Run Line (+16.2 Units / 8.3% ROI).
- 90-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.25 Units / -2.69% ROI
- 87-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.45 Units / 11.63% ROI
- 61-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -34.65 Units / -19.67% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 72-89 against the Run Line (-21.35 Units / -10.54% ROI).
- 82-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.6 Units / -8.92% ROI
- 83-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.36% ROI
- 69-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.7 Units / -12.84% ROI
Twins vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ryan Jeffers (MIN) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Twins vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton (MIN) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Royce Lewis (MIN) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bailey Ober (MIN) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Albert Suarez has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (526/1,043) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 76% of Albert Suarez’s pitches in the zone (758/995) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 68% — 100th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has allowed three-ball counts to 31% of batters they faced (77/252 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.
Albert Suarez has thrown fastballs up 81% of the time (295/365) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .132 (37-for-280) against Bailey Ober’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (156/453) against Bailey Ober this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .406 (26 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Bailey Ober with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of just .239 (67 Total Bases / 280 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Orioles are 60-48 (.556) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 66-23 (.742) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Orioles are 68-6 (.919) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Orioles are 132-28 (.825) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Twins are 139-2 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Twins are 62-26 (.705) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .627.
The Twins are 27-107 (.201) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins are just 1-65 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Orioles are 60-33 (.619) against the run line (24.1% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (9,172 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Twins are batting just .197 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Twins have scored 1.76 runs per game (568/323) in late innings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.45.
Twins hitters have drawn 109 walks in 1,626 PA’s (7%) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have walked 299 of 4,332 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have walked 431 of 6,040 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have walked 298 of 4,333 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 193 of 2,892 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Minnesota Twins – No Injuries Reported
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Orioles vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
