- The White Sox are -130 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- White Sox starting pitcher: Dylan Cease
- Watch the game on NBCS-CHI
The Baltimore Orioles (+110) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-130) on Sunday, April 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 7-8 ATS.
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 7.5 -105 | +110 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 7.5 -115 | -130 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.75 Units / 129% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 away games (+6.05 Units / 82% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+8.50 Units / 65% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+6.75 Units / 135% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+6.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Elvis Andrus has hit the Runs Over in his last 4 games at home (+6.20 Units / 155% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.10 Units / 38% ROI)
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Lenyn Sosa | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Seby Zavala | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Elvis Andrus | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
| Grayson Rodriguez | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+1.45 Units / 17% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 3 games (+3.30 Units / 94% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 8-7 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -3.97% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 2.3% ROI
- 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.6 Units / 33.14% ROI
- 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -40.92% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the White Sox have gone 7-8 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -11.03% ROI).
- 6-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -20.23% ROI
- 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 28.66% ROI
- 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.95 Units / -35.74% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (4/16) against Grayson Rodriguez in two-strike counts this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.2 innings pitched — Pete Fairbanks has the longest active streak at 28.0.
Opponents are hitting .333 (9-for-27) against Grayson Rodriguez with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .180 — first Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (23/29) with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 96th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against Dylan Cease this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .026 (1-for-38) against Dylan Cease with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .173 — 98th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 85 of 816 batters (10%) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .102 (6-for-59) against Dylan Cease this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .248 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .880.
The Orioles are 15-73 (.170) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .120.
The Orioles are 73-26 (.737) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
The Orioles are 37-41 (.474) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are 14-6 (.700) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The White Sox are 70-5 (.933) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The White Sox are just 9-46 (.164) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The White Sox are just 4-6 (.400) on the road this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .486 against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Orioles hitters have drawn 23 walks in 171 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters have 469 strikeouts in 1,881 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .840 (323 PA’s) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have 109 extra-base hits out of 350 total hits (just 31%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
White Sox hitters are slugging just .191 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .350.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .423 (101 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .653.
White Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 231 of 3,389 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2020 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 101 of 1,571 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against White Sox pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The White Sox have allowed 8.60 runs per game (43/5) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.67.
White Sox pitchers have an ERA of 8.22 (46.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
White Sox pitchers have walked 17 of 132 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Illness, D15
- Matthew Foster (White Sox): Forearm, D60
- Hanser Alberto (White Sox): Quad, D10
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Back, D10
- Timothy Anderson (White Sox): Knee, D10
- Joseph Kelly (White Sox): Groin, D15
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- Kyle Bradish (Orioles): Foot, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Ramón UrÃas (Orioles): Ear, Day-to-Day
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