- The White Sox (33-34) are -160 favorites vs the Orioles (31-39)
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (1-1), 2.34 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Johnny Cueto (1-3), 2.95 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Baltimore Orioles (+135) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-160) on Thursday, June 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Chicago.
The White Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Orioles vs White Sox Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Orioles are 31-39 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 32-35 ATS.
Orioles vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -145 | O 9 -120 | +135 |
| White Sox | -1.5 +120 | U 9 +100 | -160 |
Orioles vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Thursday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and White Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Tyler Nevin has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+7.00 Units / 61% ROI)
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jose Abreu has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 33 games at home (+17.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 33 games at home (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
- Andrew Vaughn has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
White Sox vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Adam Engel | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
White Sox vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Adam Engel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
White Sox vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| A.J. Pollock | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Adam Engel | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andrew Vaughn | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jake Burger | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
White Sox vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Johnny Cueto | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+13.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 50 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the White Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.25 Units / 33% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 43-27 against the Run Line (+11.05 Units / 12.48% ROI).
- 31-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.2 Units / 7.17% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.6 Units / -7.34% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.13% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 32-35 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -4.84% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -5.25% ROI
- 34-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.05 Units / 2.81% ROI
- 30-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -9.78% ROI
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 14.2 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 27% (4/15) against Dean Kremer — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Johnny Cueto: White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johnny Cueto has pitched 10.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Dylan Cease has the longest active streak at 27.2.
Opponents are hitting .308 (53-for-172) against Johnny Cueto versus the bottom of the order since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: .219 — first Percentile.
Johnny Cueto has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 27.1.
The last hit on a Johnny Cueto changeup was June 2nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 17 in ABs ending on his changeup. — Tony Gonsolin has the longest active streak at 29.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Orioles are just 9-31 (.225) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Orioles are 6-35 (.146) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Orioles are just 13-22 (.371) on the road this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 24-1 (.960) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The White Sox are 29-5 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The White Sox are just 2-20 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The White Sox are 3-27 (.100) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.
The White Sox are just 29-3 (.906) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .296 (5,694 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles have won just 55% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The White Sox are batting .296 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The White Sox are batting just .079 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
White Sox hitters are slugging .476 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .230 (42 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .658.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against White Sox pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 258 of 2,605 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against White Sox pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The average home run distance against the White Sox pitchers since the start of last season is 393.8 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
White Sox vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Liam Hendriks (White Sox): Arm, D15
- Yasmani Grandal (White Sox): Back, D10
- Kyle Crick (White Sox): Elbow, D15
- Jonathan Stiever (White Sox): Lat, D60
- Eloy Jiménez (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Luis Robert (White Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Garrett Crochet (White Sox): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Bummer (White Sox): Lat, D15
- Yoán Moncada (White Sox): Hamstring, D10
- Adam Engel (White Sox): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Daniel Mendick (White Sox): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Oblique, D10
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
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