- The Diamondbacks are -160 favorites vs the Padres
- Padres vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Padres / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (+145) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-175) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Padres are 92-68 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 83-77 ATS.
Padres vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 4-7, 5.23 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 3-4, 5.48 ERA
Padres vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | +1.5 -145 | O 9 +100 | +145 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +120 | U 9 -120 | -175 |
Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+27.50 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 49 games (+11.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 away games (+11.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 40 games (+37.40 Units / 94% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 41 games (+20.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.80 Units / 35% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 83 games (+20.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 79 away games (+16.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 33 away games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 68 of their last 104 games (+32.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 103 games (+18.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 95 games (+13.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 82-78 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 3.6% ROI).
- 92-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.55 Units / 3.91% ROI
- 82-74 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 0.6% ROI
- 74-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -17 Units / -9.59% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 83-77 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.43% ROI).
- 88-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 4.09% ROI
- 91-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.85 Units / 11.76% ROI
- 63-91 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.85 Units / -21.08% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jurickson Profar (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 8% (15/185) of left-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .426 (26-for-61) against Randy Vasquez’s inside fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .250 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (53/153) against Randy Vasquez this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has allowed an OPS of 1.001 (185 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .720 — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of 1.314 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — second Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of .825 (33 Total Bases / 40 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — second Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 381.5 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OBP of .489 (45 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — second Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Padres are 19-46 (.292) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Padres are 11-58 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Padres are 90-67 (.573) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 17-32 (.347) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Diamondbacks are 20-16 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.
The Diamondbacks are 131-32 (.799) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Diamondbacks are 5-58 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Diamondbacks are 13-50 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have just 786 strikeouts in 4,444 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters have just 273 strikeouts in 1,589 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .276 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Padres are batting .204 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .337 (6,207 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,003 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (1,954 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .164 against Padres pitchers this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 41% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 34% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Padres vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
