Phillies vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The (70-33) are favorites vs the (70-33)
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (9-5), 2.77 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (5-5), 4.33 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSO

The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Phillies are 55-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 54-50 ATS.

Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Phillies O
Braves U

Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Braves vs Phillies and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 away games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 64 of his last 92 games (+20.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 92 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 90 games (+16.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +320 0.5 -550
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Matt Olson 0.5 +290 0.5 -450

Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Dansby Swanson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Matt Olson 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Austin Riley 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Dansby Swanson 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 +160 0.5 -225
Matt Olson 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Charlie Morton 6.5 +100 6.5 -145
Zack Wheeler 6.5 -130 6.5 -105
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 78 games (+21.02 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 54 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 96 games (+7.50 Units / 6% ROI)

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-50 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.61% ROI).

  • 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI
  • 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.34% ROI
  • 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -10.58% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-50 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).

  • 63-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.44% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -8.12% ROI

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,502/3,392) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (555/1,304) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the road since the start of last season (383 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 88.7

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (375/858) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Charlie Morton has walked 15 of 116 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 466 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.

Charlie Morton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (264/467) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (433/1,121) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Phillies are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

The Phillies are 11-36 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Braves are 27-3 (.900) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Braves are 37-10 (.787) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Braves are 56-13 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.

The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Phillies hitters are slugging .511 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Phillies hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Phillies hitters have put 39% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Phillies are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.

Braves hitters are slugging .682 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .852 (774 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Braves hitters are slugging .501 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,078 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Phillies pitchers have walked 151 of 2,344 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .256 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .218.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Batters facing the Braves pitchers put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Braves vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Michael Ford (Braves): Neck, D10
  • Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
  • Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
  • Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
  • Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
  • Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D10
  • Michael Harris II (Braves): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
  • Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
  • James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
  • Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
  • Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
  • Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
  • Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.