- The – (70-33) are favorites vs the – (70-33)
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler (9-5), 2.77 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charles Morton (5-5), 4.33 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSO
The Philadelphia Phillies () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Phillies vs Braves Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Phillies are 55-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 54-50 ATS.
Phillies vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | O | ||
| Braves | U |
Phillies vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Phillies and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 43 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 30 games (+15.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 away games (+12.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 52 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matt Olson has hit the Singles Under in 64 of his last 92 games (+20.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Singles Over in 55 of his last 92 games (+19.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+18.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 90 games (+16.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Braves vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
Braves vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Braves vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dansby Swanson | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eddie Rosario | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -145 |
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -130 | 6.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 away games (+12.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 98 games (+11.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 52 games (+10.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 13 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Braves: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 78 games (+21.02 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 54 games (+16.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 96 games (+7.50 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 53-50 against the Run Line (+3.25 Units / 2.61% ROI).
- 55-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.8% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.34% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -10.58% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 54-50 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).
- 63-41 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 2.08% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.5 Units / -0.44% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -8.12% ROI
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,502/3,392) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (555/1,304) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.8 MPH on the road since the start of last season (383 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 88.7
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (375/858) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.
Charles Morton: Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 15 of 116 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 466 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (264/467) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (433/1,121) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Phillies are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
The Phillies are 11-36 (.234) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Phillies are just 3-10 (.231) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 43-2 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Braves are 27-3 (.900) when scoring in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Braves are 37-10 (.787) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .709.
The Braves are 56-13 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .511 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have put just 35% of their swings in play against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies hitters have put 39% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Phillies are 9-36 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .087.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .682 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .852 (774 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Braves hitters are slugging .501 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,078 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 151 of 2,344 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .256 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Braves pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers put just 34% of their swings in play this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Braves vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Michael Ford (Braves): Neck, D10
- Ozhanio Albies (Braves): Foot, D60
- Darren O’Day (Braves): Calf, D15
- Kirby Yates (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Michael Soroka (Braves): Achilles, D60
- Manuel Piña (Braves): Wrist, D60
- Luke Jackson (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Adam Duvall (Braves): Wrist, D10
- Michael Harris II (Braves): Foot, Day-to-Day
- Hans Crouse (Phillies): Biceps, D60
- Zachary Eflin (Phillies): Knee, D60
- James McArthur (Phillies): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Jean Segura (Phillies): Finger, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
- Damon Jones (Phillies): Shoulder, D60
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