- The Phillies are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: NSPA | BSDT
The Philadelphia Phillies (-125) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Phillies are 52-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 35-43 ATS.
Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-1, 1.78 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 8-3, 2.50 ERA
Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | O 7.5 -115 | -125 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -165 | U 7.5 -105 | +105 |
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 38 games (+18.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+17.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+11.20 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games at home (+21.10 Units / 162% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+15.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 63 games (+23.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 61 games (+22.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 60 games (+19.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 62 games (+18.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 61 games (+15.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+10.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+9.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+3.85 Units / 13% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 43-35 against the Run Line (+8 Units / 8.53% ROI).
- 52-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.6 Units / 11.33% ROI
- 34-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -10.63% ROI
- 39-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.7% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 35-43 against the Run Line (-12.7 Units / -12.15% ROI).
- 36-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.15 Units / -10.09% ROI
- 41-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 8.1% ROI
- 31-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.05 Units / -17.04% ROI
Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 4.5 -190 | 4.5 +145 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has thrown inside pitches 47% of the time (113/238) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .311 (190 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .483 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .191 (63-for-330) against Ranger Suarez this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 94th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .538 (354 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .142 (18-for-127) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .193 (135 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 4 of 135 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (18/83) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 4-20 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
The Phillies are 46-5 (.902) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Phillies are 8-16 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .147.
The Phillies are 16-21 (.432) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .282.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .941.
The Tigers are just 25-104 (.194) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Tigers are just 40-52 (.435) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Tigers are 16-2 (.889) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .304 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies hitters are slugging .423 against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .754 (6,341 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,003 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,315 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .680 (6,977 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .117 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 23% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 302 of 3,565 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 201 of 2,894 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 16% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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