- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Phillies vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Phillies / Tigers TV Channel: NSPA | BSDT | MLBN
The Philadelphia Phillies (-165) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+140) on Wednesday, June 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Phillies are 52-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 36-43 ATS.
Phillies vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Phillies starting pitcher: Spencer Turnbull 3-0, 2.63 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Phillies vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Phillies | -1.5 -105 | O 9 -115 | -165 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | U 9 -105 | +140 |
Phillies vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 36 games (+18.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 39 games (+16.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 44 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+20.10 Units / 144% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+16.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+12.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 64 games (+22.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 62 games (+20.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 41 of their last 61 games (+18.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 63 games (+16.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 62 games (+14.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 43-36 against the Run Line (+7 Units / 7.38% ROI).
- 52-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.4 Units / 10.3% ROI
- 34-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -11.86% ROI
- 40-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.83% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 36-43 against the Run Line (-11.7 Units / -11.02% ROI).
- 37-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -8.89% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.5 Units / 6.56% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -15.64% ROI
Tigers vs Phillies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Tigers vs Phillies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Phillies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Tigers vs Phillies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Turnbull (PHI) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
| Tyler Holton (DET) | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against Spencer Turnbull with two-strikes this month (4 games) — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .157 — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (16 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Spencer Turnbull’s non-fastballs (180/465) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .141 (9 GB hits out of 64 GBs) against Spencer Turnbull this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (206/602) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (100/278) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has struck out 34% (54/158) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 42% (21 SO in 50 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 4-21 (.160) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .058.
The Phillies are 46-6 (.885) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Phillies are 8-17 (.320) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
The Phillies are 11-85 (.115) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are 70-29 (.707) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .637.
The Tigers are 46-18 (.719) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .620.
The Tigers are just 24-8 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .307 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .770 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,030 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .310 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,319 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .440 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .561.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .124 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 25% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 6 of 209 batters (3%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 21 of 461 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 202 of 2,927 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers vs. Phillies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
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