Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (48-59) are -250 favorites vs the Pirates (44-64)
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Tyler Beede (1-1), 3.88 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (6-2), 3.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Pirates vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Pirates are 44-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 61-46 ATS.

Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -105O 8 -105+190
Diamondbacks -1.5 -115U 8 -115-250

Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.10 Units / 119% ROI)
  • Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Josh VanMeter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 68 games (+27.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 50 of his last 71 games (+17.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 60 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Carson Kelly 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Christian Walker 0.5 +375 0.5 -650
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
Carson Kelly 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 -140 0.5 +100

Diamondbacks vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Carson Kelly 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Christian Walker 0.5 +115 0.5 -160
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Geraldo Perdomo 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Diamondbacks vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 102% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 67 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+14.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.59% ROI).

  • 44-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.4% ROI
  • 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -11.78% ROI
  • 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.64% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-46 against the Run Line (+12.15 Units / 8.8% ROI).

  • 48-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -4.83% ROI
  • 48-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -9.44% ROI
  • 54-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (9/56) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.

Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 13% (25 SO in 188 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

Tyler Beede has struck out just 15% (13/89) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (23/69) against Tyler Beede this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.

Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (26/146) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .140 (14-for-100) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (181/870) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .206 (84-for-408) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 88th Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Pirates are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Pirates are just 51-115 (.307) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Pirates are just 15-56 (.211) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Pirates are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Diamondbacks are just 101-18 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are just 92-27 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Diamondbacks are just 13-48 (.213) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Diamondbacks are just 27-163 (.142) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.

The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,324 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (5,237 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.

The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.

Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 3 walks in 8 PA’s (38%) against LHP this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .571 (8 PA’s) against LHP this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 216 of 2,353 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
  • Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
  • Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
  • Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
  • Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
  • Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
  • José Godoy (Pirates): Cramping/Illness, Day-to-Day
  • David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Pirates and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.