- The Diamondbacks (48-59) are -250 favorites vs the Pirates (44-64)
- Pirates starting pitcher: Tyler Beede (1-1), 3.88 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen (6-2), 3.31 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+190) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-250) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Pirates vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Pirates are 44-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 61-46 ATS.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -105 | O 8 -105 | +190 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 -115 | U 8 -115 | -250 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Pirates and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Tucupita Marcano has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 away games (+8.10 Units / 119% ROI)
- Rodolfo Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Josh VanMeter has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.40 Units / 46% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 39 of his last 68 games (+27.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 50 of his last 71 games (+17.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 47 of his last 68 games (+14.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 40 of his last 60 games (+12.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.55 Units / 80% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Carson Kelly | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 99 games (+6.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 102% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 67 games (+3.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 29 games (+15.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 96 games (+14.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 57 games at home (+6.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.00 Units / 21% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (-0.8 Units / -0.59% ROI).
- 44-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.45 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 46-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -11.78% ROI
- 55-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 3.64% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 61-46 against the Run Line (+12.15 Units / 8.8% ROI).
- 48-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -4.83% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.05 Units / -9.44% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.25% ROI
Tyler Beede: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (9/56) against Tyler Beede on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — fourth Percentile.
Tyler Beede has a strikeout rate of just 13% (25 SO in 188 PAs) this season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Tyler Beede has struck out just 15% (13/89) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 6th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 33% (23/69) against Tyler Beede this season — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Zachary Gallen: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (26/146) against Zac Gallen on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (14-for-100) against Zac Gallen when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .227 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% (181/870) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 12th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .206 (84-for-408) against Zac Gallen this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 88th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are just 85-22 (.794) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Pirates are just 51-115 (.307) on the road since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Pirates are just 15-56 (.211) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Pirates are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are just 101-18 (.849) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 92-27 (.773) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 13-48 (.213) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Diamondbacks are just 27-163 (.142) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .278.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .145 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .283 (1,324 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .452 (5,237 PA’s) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Pirates are batting just .146 with two-strikes since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have drawn 3 walks in 8 PA’s (38%) against LHP this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Diamondbacks hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .571 (8 PA’s) against LHP this month (2 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 216 of 2,353 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in late innings since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (Diamondbacks): Ankle, D15
- Caleb Smith (Diamondbacks): Hand, D15
- Tyler Gilbert (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Heineman (Pirates): Groin, D10
- Canaan Smith-Njigba (Pirates): Wrist, D60
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- José Godoy (Pirates): Cramping/Illness, Day-to-Day
- David Bednar (Pirates): Back, D15
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