- The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | SNPT | MLBN
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Pirates are 56-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 57-60 ATS.
Pirates vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 5-7, 3.89 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 9-6, 3.54 ERA
Pirates vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 +105 | O 8 +100 | +225 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -130 | U 8 -120 | -275 |
Pirates vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+20.20 Units / 253% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 away games (+15.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.45 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 18 games (+19.50 Units / 108% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+17.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Amed Rosario has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 29% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 50% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+14.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+10.10 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 35 away games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+5.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+8.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+5.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 64-52 against the Run Line (+9.51 Units / 6.34% ROI).
- 56-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -3.97% ROI
- 54-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 58-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.62 Units / -0.49% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 57-60 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -6.65% ROI).
- 68-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -6.42% ROI
- 61-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.47% ROI
- 55-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.1 Units / -9.37% ROI
Dodgers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Amed Rosario (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Dodgers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 8.5 +110 | 8.5 -145 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (34/102) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (322/742) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (504/1,105) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Bailey Falter in the 2023 season was 384.5 feet — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (79 SO in 129 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .191 (188 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has struck out 34% (80/238) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has allowed a slugging percentage of just .127 (16 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .306 — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Pirates are just 46-5 (.902) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .943.
The Pirates are just 141-33 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Pirates are just 6-11 (.353) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 98-22 (.817) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Dodgers are 106-55 (.658) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Dodgers are 245-46 (.842) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Dodgers are 54-27 (.667) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .463.
The Dodgers are 145-26 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Pirates hitters have 203 strikeouts in 584 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,279 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .236 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .337 (12,303 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 332 walks in 3,267 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .445 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .714 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Pirates pitchers this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,539 of 16,919 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates have won just 27% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Pirates have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.53 (3943.1 IP) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,218 of 16,249 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Miguel Rojas (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, Day-To-Day
- Ryan Brasier (Los Angeles Dodgers): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Connor Brogdon (Los Angeles Dodgers): Foot, 60-Day IL
- Mookie Betts (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Muncy (Los Angeles Dodgers): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Neck, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Michael Grove (Los Angeles Dodgers): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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