Pirates vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 20

Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vรกsquez)
  • The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Pirates vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Pirates / Rangers TV Channel: SNPT | BSSW

The Pittsburgh Pirates (+120) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-145) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Pirates are 58-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 56-70 ATS.

Pirates vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-7, 3.99 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Cody Bradford 4-0, 3.44 ERA

Pirates vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Pirates+1.5 -185O 8 -105+120
Rangers -1.5 +150U 8 -115-145

Pirates vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+25.90 Units / 173% ROI)
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+12.45 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 33% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+16.45 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 games at home (+15.40 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+13.40 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 85 games (+16.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 80 games (+3.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+19.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 58 games at home (+12.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games at home (+5.80 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 39 games at home (+4.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 69-55 against the Run Line (+11.46 Units / 7.16% ROI).

  • 58-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -6.37% ROI
  • 59-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.05 Units / -5.86% ROI
  • 61-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.22 Units / -2.37% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 56-70 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -14.56% ROI).

  • 58-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.1 Units / -12.09% ROI
  • 55-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.3 Units / -11.76% ROI
  • 65-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.65 Units / 3.35% ROI

Rangers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Michael Taylor (PIT) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Joey Bart (PIT) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Rangers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rangers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Bryan Reynolds (PIT) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Rangers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mitch Keller (PIT) 4.5 -160 4.5 +120
Cody Bradford (TEX) 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .913 (211 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .302 (57-for-189) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — fourth Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .556 (105 Total Bases / 189 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — third Percentile.

Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .357 (210 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — third Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 19% (4/21) against Cody Bradford in his last start — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

Cody Bradford has not walked any of the 18 batters that he has faced when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Cody Bradford has allowed an OPS of .980 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 7th highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .627 — 13th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (6/25) against Cody Bradford in his last two starts — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — seventh Percentile.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Pirates are just 17-28 (.378) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Pirates are just 159-80 (.665) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Pirates are just 13-19 (.406) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Pirates are just 7-23 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Rangers are just 4-200 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Rangers are just 9-95 (.087) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rangers are just 10-182 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .361 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.

Pirates hitters have 433 strikeouts in 1,284 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Pirates hitters are slugging just .496 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.

team hitters – home

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Pirates pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Pirates pitchers have walked 1,558 of 17,212 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Pirates pitchers this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (536.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.

Rangers pitchers have walked 68 of 1,112 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 427 of 4,731 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
  • Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.