Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -150 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Rangers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSSW | MLBN

The Texas Rangers (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-150) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Rangers are 70-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 74-70 ATS.

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi 11-7, 3.57 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 11-6, 3.69 ERA

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -185O 8 -120+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +150U 8 +100-150

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+22.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 35 games (+17.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Josh Jung has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 49 games (+13.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 50 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 games (+41.00 Units / 164% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+18.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+13.05 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 32 games (+18.55 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+5.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 60 of their last 88 games (+32.10 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games (+21.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.05 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.65 Units / 29% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 64-80 against the Run Line (-27.55 Units / -14.55% ROI).

  • 70-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -8.08% ROI
  • 64-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.2 Units / -10.31% ROI
  • 73-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 1.65% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 74-70 against the Run Line (-3.75 Units / -1.95% ROI).

  • 80-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 6.72% ROI
  • 83-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.75 Units / 13.01% ROI
  • 56-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.05 Units / -22.26% ROI

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (34/202) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (118/202) against Nathan Eovaldi this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .040 (1-for-25) against Nathan Eovaldi in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .225 — 100th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed a slugging percentage of just .182 (14 Total Bases / 77 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .359 — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .217 (157-for-725) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 83rd Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .330 (156 Total Bases / 473 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 — 96th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .346 (251 Total Bases / 725 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .386 — 83rd Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .607 (513 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .690 — 96th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Rangers are just 11-188 (.055) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Rangers are just 8-18 (.308) after a win as underdogs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Rangers are just 18-23 (.439) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.

The Rangers are just 5-206 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

The Diamondbacks are 22-13 (.629) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .467.

The Diamondbacks are 58-12 (.817) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Diamondbacks are 22-18 (.550) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

Rangers hitters have 34 strikeouts in 89 PA’s (38%) against LHP this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Rangers are batting just .304 in hitter’s counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,318/17,715 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Rangers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .757 (174 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .447 with two-strikes this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .345 (2,649 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.16 (588.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.

Rangers pitchers have walked 78 of 1,273 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
  • Texas Rangers – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.