Rangers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 26

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 26, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mariners (52-45) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (43-52)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-6), 4.42 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 3.77 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Texas Rangers (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 43-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-48 ATS.

Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -155O 8 +100+125
Mariners -1.5 +125U 8 -120-155

Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 32 away games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 away games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 away games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 37 games at home (+20.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 64 games (+17.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Carlos Santana 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Dylan Moore 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +340 0.5 -600

Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Dylan Moore 0.5 -110 0.5 -130
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Carlos Santana 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
Dylan Moore 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 +100 5.5 -145
Dane Dunning 3.5 -130 3.5 -105
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 games (+19.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 48 away games (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 away games (+1.00 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+17.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-40 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 9.26% ROI).

  • 43-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -7.7% ROI
  • 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.67% ROI
  • 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.96% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-48 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -4.62% ROI).

  • 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 6.13% ROI
  • 45-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -8.69% ROI
  • 50-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.23% ROI

Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .778 (422 PA’s) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — ninth Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .407 (55 Total Bases / 135 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — ninth Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .563 (203 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .474 — 15th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 58% of the time (462/801) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (68 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has walked 4 of 134 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (55 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .365 — second Percentile.

George Kirby has a strike rate of 69% (386/559) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are 24-5 (.828) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Rangers are just 12-42 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mariners are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 27-22 (.551) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.

The Mariners are 6-41 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Mariners are 29-5 (.853) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,580 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have grounded into 41 double plays in 624 opportunities (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (11,657 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters have drawn 108 walks in 980 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Mariners are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 77 of 849 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Ankle, Day-to-Day
  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
  • Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
  • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.