- The Mariners (52-45) are -155 favorites vs the Rangers (43-52)
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (1-6), 4.42 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (2-3), 3.77 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Texas Rangers (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Tuesday, July 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rangers are 43-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 49-48 ATS.
Rangers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 8 +100 | +125 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -120 | -155 |
Rangers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 32 away games (+15.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 away games (+15.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.70 Units / 67% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 39 games (+14.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 42 away games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 37 games at home (+20.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 46 of his last 64 games (+17.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- Abraham Toro has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Adam Frazier has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -130 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
Mariners vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| Dylan Moore | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -145 |
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 84 games (+19.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 33 of their last 56 games (+13.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 48 away games (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 away games (+1.00 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 29 games (+17.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+5.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-40 against the Run Line (+11.45 Units / 9.26% ROI).
- 43-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.35 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.8 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -4.96% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-48 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -4.62% ROI).
- 52-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 6.13% ROI
- 45-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.2 Units / -8.69% ROI
- 50-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.23% ROI
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .778 (422 PA’s) this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — ninth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of .407 (55 Total Bases / 135 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — ninth Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OPS of .563 (203 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .474 — 15th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown low pitches 58% of the time (462/801) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .540 (68 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .363 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 4 of 134 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a slugging percentage of .573 (55 Total Bases / 96 ABs) on breaking pitches this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: .365 — second Percentile.
George Kirby has a strike rate of 69% (386/559) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 47 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are just 11-23 (.324) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are 24-5 (.828) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Rangers are just 12-42 (.222) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 38-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Mariners are 27-22 (.551) on the road this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Mariners are 6-41 (.128) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Mariners are 29-5 (.853) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,580 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,895 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have grounded into 41 double plays in 624 opportunities (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .295 (11,657 PA’s) since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .160 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters have drawn 108 walks in 980 PA’s (11%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Mariners are batting just .130 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 77 of 849 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Mariners have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Trammell (Mariners): Hamstring, D10
- Jesse Winker (Mariners): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Hernia, D60
- Kenneth Giles (Mariners): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Haniger (Mariners): Ankle, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Dane Dunning (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Neck, D10
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Blister, D15
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