- The Orioles are -160 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Orioles TV Channel: ESPN
The Texas Rangers (+135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-160) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rangers are 37-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 47-36 ATS.
Rangers vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-9, 4.18 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-4, 3.70 ERA
Rangers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -110 | +135 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -110 | -160 |
Rangers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+16.10 Units / 201% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 36 games (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+17.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+11.00 Units / 69% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 47 of their last 79 games (+16.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 31 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+18.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 38-45 against the Run Line (-12.15 Units / -11.32% ROI).
- 37-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.15 Units / -15.54% ROI
- 31-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.8 Units / -23.8% ROI
- 48-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.25 Units / 15.66% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 47-36 against the Run Line (+18.3 Units / 19.09% ROI).
- 53-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 10.64% ROI
- 42-30 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.45 Units / 10.52% ROI
- 30-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.4 Units / -18.09% ROI
Orioles vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Robbie Grossman (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Hays (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Orioles vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jonah Heim (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Orioles vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -140 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .181 (34-for-188) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .160 (4-for-25) against Andrew Heaney on low fastballs this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .264 — 92nd Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (180 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents have a swing rate of just 38% (395/1,031) against Andrew Heaney on inside fastballs since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 49% — fourth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .345 (40-for-116) against Cole Irvin this month (5 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .372 (35-for-94) against Cole Irvin this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Cole Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (68 Total Bases / 116 ABs) this month (5 games) — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .427 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (79/479) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 2-31 (.061) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Rangers are just 5-89 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Rangers are just 11-19 (.367) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 9-164 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 50-27 (.649) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .479.
The Orioles are 56-43 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Orioles are 19-7 (.731) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 111-17 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,016/15,435 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .900 (573 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.046.
Rangers hitters are slugging .462 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rangers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this month (26 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .464 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Orioles hitters are slugging .463 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .825 (984 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Orioles hitters are slugging .462 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .386.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 303 of 3,093 batters (10%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .220 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 48% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .206 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Orioles pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 3.36 (747.1 IP) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Orioles vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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