Rangers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 19

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 19, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Twins (61-55) are -145 favorites vs the Rangers (53-65)
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez (9-3), 2.78 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (6-5), 4.75 ERA
  • Watch the game on Apple TV+

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-145) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Twins are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Rangers vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rangers are 52-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 55-61 ATS.

Rangers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -165O 8 -110+120
Twins -1.5 +135U 8 -110-145

Rangers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s matchup with 71.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rangers and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Twins vs Rangers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 40 away games (+20.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+16.50 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 40 away games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 31 games (+13.10 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+18.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+16.10 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 44 games at home (+15.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 36 games at home (+14.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 34 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Twins vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Carlos Correa 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Gio Urshela 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Twins vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Carlos Correa 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 -175 0.5 +125
Gio Urshela 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Twins vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Byron Buxton 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Carlos Correa 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Gilberto Celestino 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Gio Urshela 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +150 0.5 -225

Twins vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dylan Bundy 3.5 -145 3.5 +100
Martin Perez 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 52 away games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 36 away games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 away games (+4.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+3.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 67 of their last 114 games (+15.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 79 games (+8.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.25 Units / 86% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 65-52 against the Run Line (+8.45 Units / 5.56% ROI).

  • 52-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.25 Units / -9.12% ROI
  • 57-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.55 Units / 1.97% ROI
  • 50-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.25 Units / -9.51% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 55-61 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -6.08% ROI).

  • 61-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -0.54% ROI
  • 55-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -1.02% ROI
  • 52-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -6.54% ROI

Opponents are hitting just .159 (17-for-107) against Martin Perez on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 97th Percentile.

Martin Perez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (21 Total Bases / 107 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .416 — 97th Percentile.

Martin Perez has a strikeout rate of 27% (34 SO in 125 PAs) in PAs ending on inside fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.

Martin Perez has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 59% (244/414) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fourth Percentile.

Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 70% (417/597) when ahead in the count this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 99th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has a strike rate of 74% (306/412) in two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 50% (105/209) against Dylan Bundy with two-strikes this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 97th Percentile.

Dylan Bundy has averaged 89.3 MPH on fastballs this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — fifth Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Rangers are just 41-8 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Rangers are just 15-53 (.221) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Rangers are just 50-59 (.459) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 52-7 (.881) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Twins are just 7-38 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Twins are 34-25 (.576) at home this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .296 (3,819 PA’s) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,134 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .693 (3,134 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (7,231 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .323 (3,073 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Twins hitters are slugging .424 against RHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Twins hitters have just 52 strikeouts in 313 PA’s (17%) against RHP this month (14 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Twins hitters are slugging .604 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Rangers pitchers have walked 103 of 1,053 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 423 of 4,493 batters (9%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 9 of 63 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Twins pitchers over the last 14 days (10 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 23% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Kole Calhoun (Rangers): Heel, D10
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Dennis Santana (Rangers): Ankle, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.