- The Orioles are -150 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MAS2 | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-140) on Friday, May 31, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 28-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 29-25 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-4, 5.72 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Albert Suarez 2-0, 1.54 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -105 | +115 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -115 | -140 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.15 Units / 86% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 21 games at home (+30.30 Units / 144% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+16.50 Units / 66% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+16.20 Units / 65% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.60 Units / 54% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 38 of their last 54 games (+21.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+5.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 48 games (+3.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.70 Units / 73% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 39 games (+11.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+8.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+8.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 60% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 24-33 against the Run Line (-9.1 Units / -12.6% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -13.66% ROI
- 29-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -2.88% ROI
- 28-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.15 Units / -6.59% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 29-25 against the Run Line (+8.15 Units / 13.01% ROI).
- 35-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 9.29% ROI
- 27-19 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.35 Units / 10.91% ROI
- 19-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.8 Units / -18.48% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .323 (30-for-93) against Aaron Civale when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — sixth Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed at least one HR in each of his last six games dating back to April 27th — tied with Jose Berrios for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Aaron Civale has allowed an OPS of 1.121 (44 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (60/168) against Aaron Civale this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .067 (1-for-15) against Albert Suarez this month (6 games) — tied for 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 — 95th Percentile.
Albert Suarez has pitched 10.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Matt Strahm has the longest active streak at 22.0.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to April 17th — Tanner Bibee has the longest active streak at 8.
Albert Suarez has not allowed a runner to reach base (16 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this month (6 games) — best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .330 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are just 9-19 (.321) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Rays are just 16-33 (.327) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Rays are 26-17 (.605) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 45-24 (.652) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 27-31 (.466) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 86 total hits (just 28%) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Rays are batting just .218 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Rays hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rays hitters have 120 strikeouts in 462 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .482 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters are slugging .435 this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
Orioles hitters have 70 extra-base hits out of 173 total hits (41%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .305 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays pitchers have walked 606 of 8,182 batters (7%) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have have still managed to win 44% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
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