- The Orioles are -190 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSUN | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 69-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 78-64 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 7-6, 3.77 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Zach Eflin 10-7, 3.60 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -115 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 -105 | -190 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 60.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+18.90 Units / 315% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+9.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 13 games at home (+28.50 Units / 219% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 47 games (+21.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 45 games (+20.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+12.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 83 of their last 138 games (+23.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 132 games (+13.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 70 games (+9.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 away games (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 133 games (+21.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 95 games (+13.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 127 games (+6.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.80 Units / 34% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 71-70 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -3.17% ROI).
- 69-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.2 Units / -7.18% ROI
- 64-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 72-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.9 Units / 1.22% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 78-64 against the Run Line (+21.3 Units / 12.56% ROI).
- 82-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.7 Units / -0.34% ROI
- 76-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.2 Units / 11.13% ROI
- 54-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -29.7 Units / -19.08% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Zach Eflin (BAL) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -110 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .152 (7-for-46) against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (130/406) against Ryan Pepiot on fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (30-for-184) against Ryan Pepiot’s fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .201 (110-for-546) against Ryan Pepiot since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 120 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 97th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zach Eflin has allowed a slugging percentage of .469 (68 Total Bases / 145 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .302 — third Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 6 of 312 right-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has walked 12 of 495 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Zach Eflin has allowed an OBP of just .235 (213 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — 96th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 124-5 (.961) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are just 26-50 (.342) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Rays are 12-115 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 54-26 (.675) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 60-47 (.561) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 19-10 (.655) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 63-22 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
The Orioles are 53-71 (.427) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 299 strikeouts in 1,192 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have an OBP of .330 (2,519 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .438 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Orioles are 60-33 (.645) against the run line (25.1% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,221 of 17,221 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .214 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Orioles pitchers have walked 284 of 4,163 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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