- The Orioles are -200 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Rays / Orioles TV Channel: Roku
The Tampa Bay Rays (+180) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-225) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 12:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Rays are 70-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 78-65 ATS.
Rays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 5-9, 4.06 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 13-7, 3.19 ERA
Rays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -115 | O 8 -115 | +180 |
| Orioles | -1.5 -105 | U 8 -105 | -225 |
Rays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.10 Units / 268% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 42 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Brandon Lowe has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 14 games at home (+27.50 Units / 196% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+20.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+18.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corbin Burnes has hit the Strikeouts Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- Colton Cowser has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 83 of their last 139 games (+22.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 133 games (+11.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 71 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 66 games (+9.85 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 away games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 74 of their last 134 games (+20.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 54 of their last 96 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 128 games (+5.35 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 25% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 72-70 against the Run Line (-5.05 Units / -2.62% ROI).
- 70-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.26% ROI
- 65-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.2 Units / -8.48% ROI
- 72-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 0.57% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 78-65 against the Run Line (+20.3 Units / 11.9% ROI).
- 82-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -1.17% ROI
- 77-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +18.2 Units / 11.68% ROI
- 54-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -30.7 Units / -19.6% ROI
Orioles vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Colton Cowser (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 +100 |
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
13 of Zack Littell’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 8 of 332 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 121 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Zack Littell has thrown his slider 45% of the time (662/1,472) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .291 (167-for-573) against Zack Littell when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 76% of the time (167/221) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 67% of the time (323/483) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has had second base stolen on him 37 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has allowed a slugging percentage of just .294 (225 Total Bases / 765 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rays are 59-4 (.937) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Rays are 12-115 (.094) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 42-27 (.609) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Rays are just 19-36 (.345) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Orioles are 60-47 (.561) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Orioles are 19-10 (.655) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Orioles are 206-15 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Orioles are 63-22 (.741) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .624.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 300 strikeouts in 1,195 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have 206 strikeouts in 633 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .362 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .436 against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,224 of 17,258 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .212 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Orioles have won 42% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 39% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have won 36% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Orioles vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Baltimore Orioles – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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