- The Yankees are -175 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Red Sox / Yankees TV Channel: FOX
The Boston Red Sox (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Red Sox are 74-72 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-70 ATS.
Red Sox vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Cooper Criswell 6-4, 4.17 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 9-10, 3.98 ERA
Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -185 |
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 65.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 25 away games (+29.20 Units / 117% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 22 away games (+18.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the RBIs Under in 28 of his last 34 games (+17.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 35 games (+21.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 48 games (+21.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.35 Units / 72% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+14.00 Units / 98% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 away games (+14.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 68 away games (+10.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 68 away games (+8.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 112 games (+12.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 67-79 against the Run Line (-20.75 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 74-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 1.72% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.75 Units / -9.9% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-70 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 5.12% ROI).
- 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.8 Units / -5.95% ROI
- 79-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 5.74% ROI
- 63-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.65 Units / -14.76% ROI
Yankees vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Rob Refsnyder (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Austin Wells (NYY) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr (NYY) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -105 |
| Cooper Criswell (BOS) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 59% (41/69) against Cooper Criswell when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 69% (76/110) against Cooper Criswell’s changeup this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 98th Percentile.
Division opponents are hitting .353 (36-for-102) against Cooper Criswell this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (77/427) against Cooper Criswell on non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (126/385) against Nestor Cortes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (8-for-54) against Nestor Cortes on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .270 — 100th Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .843 (257 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — eighth Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .515 (124 Total Bases / 241 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — fourth Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Red Sox are just 31-129 (.194) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Red Sox are just 3-134 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 19-186 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Red Sox are 23-16 (.590) after a road win this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Yankees are 27-15 (.643) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Yankees are 118-36 (.766) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .639.
The Yankees are 44-10 (.815) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .393 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are batting .258 with two outs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Red Sox hitters have 472 strikeouts in 1,676 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 199 walks in 1,658 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 311 walks in 2,826 PA’s (11%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Yankees hitters have drawn 473 walks in 4,375 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 86 of 1,312 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 407 of 5,553 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .230 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Yankees vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Yankees – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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