- The Nationals (42-83) are -145 favorites vs the Reds (48-75)
- Reds starting pitcher: , ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: , ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-145) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Nationals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Reds vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Reds are 46-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-70 ATS.
Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Call | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Minor | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Reds Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 56-65 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -9.97% ROI).
- 46-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -12.95% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.43% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.95% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-70 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -17.41% ROI).
- 41-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 60-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.22% ROI
- 55-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -7.71% ROI
: Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
26 of Mike Minor’s 82 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (81 Total Bases / 108 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .433 — 0 Percentile.
Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (75 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .294 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (15-for-51) against Mike Minor with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — second Percentile.
: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Reds are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Reds are just 26-36 (.419) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Reds are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Reds are just 11-57 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Nationals are just 19-44 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 14-74 (.159) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 107-16 (.870) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Nationals are just 106-24 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Reds hitters have 702 strikeouts in 2,922 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds hitters are slugging just .340 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .287 (582 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals have grounded 272 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 65 double plays in 960 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,074 of 10,946 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 71% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.58 (519.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Nationals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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