Reds vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 26

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 26, 2022, 9:03 AM
  • The Nationals (42-83) are -145 favorites vs the Reds (48-75)
  • Reds starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: , ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Cincinnati Reds (+120) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-145) on Friday, August 26, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Nationals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Reds vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Reds are 46-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 52-70 ATS.

Reds vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Reds+1.5 -165O 8.5 +100+120
Nationals -1.5 +135U 8.5 -120-145

Reds vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s matchup with 52.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Reds and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Reds and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Reds Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Donovan Solano has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+11.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Jonathan India has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 away games (+10.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Joey Votto has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 41 away games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.65 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.10 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Nationals vs Reds Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Call 0.5 +333 0.5 -600
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Joey Meneses 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

    Nationals vs Reds Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Call 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Joey Meneses 1.5 +185 1.5 -275

    Nationals vs Reds RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Call 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    C.J. Abrams 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
    Joey Meneses 0.5 +125 0.5 -185

    Nationals vs Reds Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Mike Minor 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 95 games (+13.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 24 of their last 42 away games (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 63 of their last 112 games (+13.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+7.10 Units / 118% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games at home (+2.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 56-65 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -9.97% ROI).

    • 46-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.75 Units / -12.95% ROI
    • 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.43% ROI
    • 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -6.95% ROI

    Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 52-70 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -17.41% ROI).

    • 41-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -14.57% ROI
    • 60-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.22% ROI
    • 55-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -7.71% ROI

    26 of Mike Minor’s 82 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

    Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (81 Total Bases / 108 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .433 — 0 Percentile.

    Mike Minor has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (75 Total Bases / 150 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .294 — 0 Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .294 (15-for-51) against Mike Minor with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — second Percentile.

    : Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    No Matchup notes for this Game

    Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

    The Reds are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

    The Reds are just 26-36 (.419) at home this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

    The Reds are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.

    The Reds are just 11-57 (.162) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

    Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

    The Nationals are just 19-44 (.302) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

    The Nationals are just 14-74 (.159) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

    The Nationals are just 107-16 (.870) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

    The Nationals are just 106-24 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

    The Reds are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.

    Reds hitters have 702 strikeouts in 2,922 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Reds hitters are slugging just .340 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

    Reds hitters have an OBP of just .287 (582 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

    Nationals have grounded 272 double plays since the start of last season — most in MLB.

    Reds pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 65 double plays in 960 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

    Reds pitchers have walked 1,074 of 10,946 batters (10%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Opponents have a groundball batting average of .312 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

    Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) against division opponents this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.93.

    The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 71% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

    Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.58 (519.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

    Nationals vs. Reds Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Luis García (Nationals): Groin, D10
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Left Calf, D10
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
  • Lucas Sims (Reds): Back, D60
  • Christian Greene (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Reinaldo Almora Jr. (Reds): Shoulder, D10
  • Connor Overton (Reds): Back, D60
  • Matthew Reynolds (Reds): Hip, D10
  • Timothy James Zeuch (Reds): Back, D15
  • Robert Dugger (Reds): Shoulder, D15
  • Jeffrey Hoffman (Reds): Forearm, D15
  • Aramis Garcia (Reds): Finger, D60
  • Tyler Stephenson (Reds): Clavicle, D60
  • Justin Wilson (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Douglas Ashcraft (Reds): Biceps, D15
  • Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Forearm, D60
  • Daniel Duarte (Reds): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Votto (Reds): Rotator Cuff, D60
  • Michael Moustakas (Reds): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.