- The Phillies are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ryan Feltner
- Phillies starting pitcher: Matthew Strahm
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Colorado Rockies (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-225) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 5-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-11 ATS.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +1.5 +100 | O 9 +100 | +180 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -120 | U 9 -120 | -225 |
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.20 Units / 89% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 60% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+15.95 Units / 80% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+8.70 Units / 124% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -700 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -400 |
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Feltner | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.15 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 4-15 against the Run Line (-11.75 Units / -56.76% ROI).
- 5-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -40% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.69% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -7.44% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-11 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -27.03% ROI).
- 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -21.98% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.47% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -8.7% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Strahm has thrown elevated pitches 68% of the time (39/57) when behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Matt Strahm has a strikeout rate of 43% (25 SO in 58 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs since last season — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (37/107) against Matt Strahm since last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Matt Strahm has thrown elevated pitches 59% of the time (106/181) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 44-27 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Rockies are just 15-50 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .348.
The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 13-30 (.302) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
keys to the game – home
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of .345 (3,489 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
31% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
The Phillies are batting .305 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .417 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Phillies are batting .220 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Rockies pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 7 double plays in 130 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers since the 2020 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 202 of 3,020 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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