- The Phillies are -350 favorites vs the Rockies
- Rockies starting pitcher: Noah Davis
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Colorado Rockies (+270) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-350) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Rockies vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Rockies are 6-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 8-12 ATS.
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rockies | +2.5 -130 | O 9 -120 | +270 |
| Phillies | -2.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -350 |
Rockies vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rockies and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Rockies vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.20 Units / 73% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+7.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.95 Units / 72% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+7.70 Units / 96% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+7.35 Units / 39% ROI)
Phillies vs Rockies Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Rockies Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Phillies vs Rockies RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| C.J. Cron | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Phillies vs Rockies Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.10 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 58% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.45 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+0.50 Units / 3% ROI)
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 5-15 against the Run Line (-10.75 Units / -49.43% ROI).
- 6-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -29.66% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -6.1% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.45 Units / -2.13% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 8-12 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -30.07% ROI).
- 8-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -28.49% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -5.15% ROI
- 10-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -3.46% ROI
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Davis has limited playing time.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola has walked 35 of 900 batters (4%) since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a first-pitch strike rate of 69% (623/905) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strike rate of 69% (2,346/3,396) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (11/68) against Aaron Nola this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rockies are just 25-13 (.658) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Rockies are just 36-36 (.500) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Rockies are just 13-30 (.302) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rockies are just 44-27 (.620) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .803.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Phillies are 15-66 (.185) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are just 5-12 (.294) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 5-2 (.714) when scoring in the first inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .567.
The Phillies are 80-29 (.734) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .283 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies are batting .272 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .299 on breaking pitches this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Phillies are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .345 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .419 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 21 of 173 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 7 double plays in 135 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 5.78 (109.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .277 against Phillies pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .260 against Phillies pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Phillies vs. Rockies Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ranger Suárez (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D10
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Nicholas Nelson (Phillies): Hamstring, D15
- Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies): Left Tricep, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Bryce Harper (Phillies): Elbow, D10
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Knee, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Randal Grichuk (Rockies): Hernia, D10
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
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