- The Brewers are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-150) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Tigers vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 7-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-9 ATS.
Tigers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -150 |
Tigers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.30 Units / 104% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+7.70 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Brewers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Brewers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Brewers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Brewers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+8.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.45 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 99% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.55 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.4% ROI).
- 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -9% ROI
- 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -13.18% ROI
- 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 5.44% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 13-9 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 15.82% ROI).
- 15-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.6 Units / 32.39% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -6.29% ROI
- 11-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.05 Units / -4.41% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matthew Boyd has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (21/44) of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has walked 8 of 46 right-handed batters (17%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (10/43) against Matthew Boyd this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (7/29) against Matthew Boyd on fastballs this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 95th Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (10/66) against Colin Rea this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a BABIP of .207 this season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .189 (7-for-37) against Colin Rea on the road this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 87th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (16/82) against Colin Rea this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 29% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Tigers are just 9-75 (.107) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 4-6 (.400) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Tigers are just 9-39 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are just 18-40 (.310) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Brewers are just 82-5 (.943) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .955.
The Brewers are 52-38 (.578) at home since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Brewers are 15-6 (.714) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Brewers are just 9-39 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .548 (439 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,942 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .258 (439 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .264 (145 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 24 strikeouts in 64 PA’s (38%) against LHP over the last 14 days (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters are slugging .426 against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Brewers hitters have 49 strikeouts in 151 PA’s (33%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 25 of 402 batters (6%) over the last 14 days (11 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Brewers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gus Varland (Brewers): Hand, D15
- Luis UrÃas (Brewers): Hamstring, D10
- Tyrone Taylor (Brewers): Elbow, D10
- Adrian Houser (Brewers): Groin, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D10
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jason Alexander (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Brandon Woodruff (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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