- The Cubs are -160 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSDT
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Tigers are 61-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-66 ATS.
Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 8-7, 3.65 ERA
Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -105 | +135 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+23.40 Units / 213% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+31.45 Units / 71% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 46 games (+25.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+24.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+19.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 66-60 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.06% ROI).
- 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -9.85% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 60-66 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 62-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 54-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -15.08% ROI
- 68-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 6.28% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (54/278) against Beau Brieske since last season — 6th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (30/107) against Beau Brieske on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Beau Brieske has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (248/387) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
50% of Beau Brieske’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 11th highest among among 144 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 35 of 746 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 86th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .581 (36 Total Bases / 62 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .368 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (21/246 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 246 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Tigers are 28-3 (.903) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .758.
The Tigers are 11-47 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Tigers are just 25-58 (.301) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Tigers are just 40-12 (.769) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Cubs are just 52-49 (.515) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are just 4-47 (.078) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
The Cubs are just 13-179 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are just 8-110 (.068) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (12,723 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .654 (12,723 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Tigers are batting just .219 on pitches 95 mph or greater since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .289 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Cubs are batting .275 in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cubs are batting just .325 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .303 (2,263 PA’s) at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 337 of 4,658 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.18 (107.1 IP) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Tigers pitchers won only 16% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (570.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 57 double plays in 894 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have 203 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th most in MLB.
Cubs vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Reese Olson (Detroit Tigers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Alex Lange (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Matt Manning (Detroit Tigers): Lat, 7-Day IL
- Parker Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Eddys Leonard (Detroit Tigers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Casey Mize (Detroit Tigers): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Kerry Carpenter (Detroit Tigers): Back, 60-Day IL
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