Twins vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 8

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Yankees (83-54) are -145 favorites vs the Twins (68-67)
  • Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray (7-4), 3.09 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes (9-4), 2.67 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Minnesota Twins (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Thursday, September 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Twins vs Yankees Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Twins are 68-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 59-75 ATS.

Twins vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Twins+1.5 -185O 7 -120+120
Yankees -1.5 +150U 7 +100-145

Twins vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Thursday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Twins and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Twins and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Twins Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 39 of his last 53 games (+16.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Trevor Larnach has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.30 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 51 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 away games (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 47 of his last 66 games at home (+16.20 Units / 16% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+13.75 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+11.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 45% ROI)

Yankees vs Twins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Aaron Judge 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +575 0.5 -1600
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +1050 0.5

Yankees vs Twins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 -105 0.5 -135
Aaron Judge 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Twins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Hicks 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Aaron Judge 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Giancarlo Stanton 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Gleyber Torres 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Yankees vs Twins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Sonny Gray 4.5 -135 4.5 -105
Nestor Cortes 5.5 +100 5.5 -140
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 75 of their last 133 games (+12.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 65 games (+6.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+0.65 Units / 3% ROI)

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 61-72 against the Run Line (-13.2 Units / -8.24% ROI).

  • 68-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.45 Units / -3.09% ROI
  • 63-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 60-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.55 Units / -6.48% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 59-75 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -12.19% ROI).

  • 82-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -0.89% ROI
  • 61-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.95 Units / -9.46% ROI
  • 68-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.47% ROI

Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (389/756) on sliders since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Sonny Gray this season is 417.4 feet — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 75.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (561/1,101) with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.

Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 59% of the time (306/515) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total SL; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 62% of the time (230/368) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 55% of the time (486/889) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

28 of Nestor Cortes’ 80 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 98th Percentile.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Twins are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 10-35 (.222) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Twins are just 58-7 (.892) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Twins are just 8-46 (.148) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Yankees are 48-20 (.706) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Yankees are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Yankees are 55-9 (.859) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Yankees are 7-43 (.140) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

Twins hitters are slugging .600 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

The Twins are batting just .311 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.

Twins hitters have put 40% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Twins have 302 barreled balls this season — 4th most in MLB.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.05 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have drawn 110 walks in 1,104 PA’s (10%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Yankees are batting just .317 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Yankees pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 360 of 5,024 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 852 of 11,023 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Yankees pitchers since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Yankees vs. Twins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Albert Abreu (Yankees): Elbow, D15
  • Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Groin, D15
  • Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Foot, Day-to-Day
  • Michael King (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Benintendi (Yankees): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Castro (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Britton (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • David LeMahieu (Yankees): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • Harrison Bader (Yankees): Foot, D60
  • Anthony Rizzo (Yankees): Back, D10
  • Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Ridings (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
  • Chad Green (Yankees): Elbow, D60
  • Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D60
  • Matthew Carpenter (Yankees): Foot, D10
  • Albertin Chapman (Yankees): Leg, D15
  • Scott Effross (Yankees): Shoulder, D15
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D60
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Tyler Mahle (Twins): Shoulder, D15
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Byron Buxton (Twins): Hip, D10
  • Sonny Gray (Twins): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Jorge Polanco (Twins): Knee, D10
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D60
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.