- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Yankees / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | MLBN | AMZP
The New York Yankees (+125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-150) on Monday, July 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Yankees are 62-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-51 ATS.
Yankees vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 10-5, 3.11 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-4, 2.57 ERA
Yankees vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -160 | O 9 -115 | +125 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 9 -105 | -150 |
Yankees vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+20.80 Units / 160% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Ben Rice has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+13.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.70 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 21 games (+18.30 Units / 87% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 19 games (+16.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 49 games (+16.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+18.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 73 games (+14.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 84 games (+12.59 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 57 away games (+7.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 90 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 45 games at home (+17.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 46 games at home (+11.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 56-51 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 8.74% ROI).
- 62-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -1.29% ROI
- 57-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 5.08% ROI
- 46-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.55 Units / -14.09% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-51 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 2.2% ROI).
- 65-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.46% ROI
- 46-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.05 Units / -12.09% ROI
- 54-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 2.83% ROI
Phillies vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Verdugo (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Phillies vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +110 |
| Luis Gil (NYY) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .149 (30-for-202) against Luis Gil this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .098 (21-for-215) against Luis Gil with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 27 of 236 right-handed batters (11%) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Luis Gil has a strike rate of just 61% (1,117/1,831) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .153 (31-for-203) against Zack Wheeler this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,161/5,062) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .162 (26-for-160) against Zack Wheeler when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .229 — 97th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed a slugging percentage of just .311 (137 Total Bases / 440 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — 93rd Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Yankees are 12-16 (.429) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Yankees are 63-20 (.759) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.
The Yankees are 20-10 (.667) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .459.
The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Phillies are 15-10 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Phillies are just 2-9 (.182) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 13-3 (.812) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .541.
The Phillies are 56-9 (.862) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 131 walks in 1,092 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 405 walks in 3,809 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are 9-2 (64.8% ROI) when slight moneyline underdogs (+101 to +149) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Yankees hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .342 (1,328 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 69% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Phillies are batting .254 with two outs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (3,197 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Yankees have won 43% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 281 of 3,877 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .183 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 751 of 9,951 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
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