- The Twins are -160 favorites vs the Yankees
- Yankees starting pitcher: Jhony Brito
- Twins starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
- Watch the game on BSN
The New York Yankees (+135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-160) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Yankees vs Twins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Yankees are 13-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 12-10 ATS.
Yankees vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Yankees | +1.5 -160 | O 7.5 -105 | +135 |
| Twins | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -115 | -160 |
Yankees vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Yankees and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Donovan Solano has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Trevor Larnach has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Donovan Solano has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Twins vs Yankees Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Twins vs Yankees Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs Yankees RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Trevino | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Yankees Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jhony Brito | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Sonny Gray | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.05 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 11-11 against the Run Line (+2.7 Units / 11.66% ROI).
- 13-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.75 Units / 2.35% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.75 Units / -39.88% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 30.42% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 12-10 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI).
- 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -4.12% ROI
- 8-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -21.19% ROI
- 12-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.15 Units / 13.02% ROI
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jhony Brito has thrown his changeup 47% of the time (44/93) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Jhony Brito has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (29/77) of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — third Percentile.
9 of Jhony Brito’s 11 strikeouts (82%) have come on changeups this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (8/60) against Jhony Brito this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 50% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (320/640) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Sonny Gray has struck out 40% (22/55) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 55% (61/111) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray’s pitches (651/1,290) with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 0 Percentile.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Yankees are 20-30 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Yankees are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Yankees are 12-47 (.203) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Yankees were 20-24 (.455) when allowing 5 or more runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Twins are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were just 4-14 (.222) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 12-29 (.293) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 28 walks in 177 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees hitters are slugging .672 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Yankees hitters are slugging just .306 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Yankees hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 68% on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters have an OBP of just .225 (130 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Twins hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 174 of their 820 plate appearances (21%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins are batting just .142 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .636 (162 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Yankees pitchers since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers won 56% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 10 of 196 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have walked 54 of 790 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers have 40 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.
Twins vs. Yankees Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Ankle, Day-to-Day
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Ronny Henriquez (Twins): Elbow, D15
- James Farmer (Twins): Face, D10
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Josh Winder (Twins): Shoulder, D15
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Thomas Kahnle (Yankees): Bicep, D60
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D15
- Benjamin Rortvedt (Yankees): Shoulder, D10
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees): Hamstring, D10
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Luis Severino (Yankees): Lat, D15
- Carlos Rodón (Yankees): Forearm, D15
- Harrison Bader (Yankees): Oblique, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D15
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