- The Chiefs are -1.5 point favorites vs the Eagles in the Super Bowl
- Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
- Watch this game on FOX | FOXD | TELE | TUBI
The Kansas City Chiefs visit Caesars Superdome to take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Feb. 9 in Super Bowl LIX. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in New Orleans, LA.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in this Super Bowl matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Chiefs vs. Eagles Over/Under is 49.5 total points for the game.
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Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Chiefs | -1.5 -115 | 49.5 -110 | -130 |
| Eagles | +1.5 -105 | 49.5 -110 | +110 |
Chiefs vs. Eagles Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Chiefs vs Eagles Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Chiefs Player Prop Bets Today
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receptions Over in his last 9 games (+9.80 Units / 86% ROI)
- DeAndre Hopkins has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Samaje Perine has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Xavier Worthy has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Carson Steele has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Eagles players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Eagles Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Interceptions Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.45 Units / 54% ROI)
- Saquon Barkley has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Completions Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Jahan Dotson has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jalen Hurts has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 48% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Eagles vs Chiefs
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | +700 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | +400 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Eagles vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Travis Kelce (KC) | 62.5 -115 | 62.5 -115 |
| DeAndre Hopkins (KC) | 15.5 -105 | 15.5 -125 |
| Noah Gray (KC) | 12.5 -118 | 12.5 -110 |
| Dallas Goedert (PHI) | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Eagles vs Chiefs
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes (KC) | 31.5 -110 | 31.5 -120 |
| Isiah Pacheco (KC) | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -115 |
| Saquon Barkley (PHI) | 113.5 -115 | 113.5 -115 |
| Jalen Hurts (PHI) | 38.5 -110 | 38.5 -118 |
Chiefs Best Bets:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have covered the 2Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.70 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Eagles Best Bets:
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Eagles have covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs art 8-10 (-2.85 Units / -13.8% ROI).
- Chiefs are 17-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 28.28% ROI
- Chiefs are 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
- Chiefs are 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / ROI
Eagles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Eagles are 13-7 (+5.25 Units / 23.65% ROI).
- Eagles are 17-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.1 Units / 23.14% ROI
- Eagles are 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
- Eagles are 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Philadelphia Eagles
The Chiefs were undefeated (9-0) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Chiefs were 5-1 (.833) when not forcing a turnover this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .292.
The Chiefs were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 offenses this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Chiefs were 3-1 (.750) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .335.
Philadelphia Eagles: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Eagles were undefeated (3-0) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .249.
The Eagles were 10-1 (.909) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Eagles were undefeated (11-0) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .565.
The Eagles were 2-1 (.667) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: .278.
Additional Matchup Notes for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have thrown the ball just 45.4% of the time since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL. The Chiefs have allowed just 6.0 yards per dropback since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
Eagles RBs have just 26.0 receiving yards per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Chiefs have averaged just 26.1 receiving yards per game allowed to RBs since the 2023 season — 3rd-best in NFL.
The Eagles ran successful plays on just 26.7% of pass attempts against a stacked front this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Chiefs pressured opposing QBs on 50% of pass attempts with a stacked front this season — T-2nd-best in NFL.
The Chiefs ran successful plays on 35.3% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Eagles had pressured opposing QBs on just 20.1% of passing plays this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Chiefs threw for 20+ yards on 42 of 600 attempts this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Eagles allowed 20+ yards on just 6.5% of attempts this season — best in NFL.
The Chiefs rushed the ball on just 41.2% of plays from scrimmage in the red zone this season — 4th-lowest in NFL. The Eagles have allowed 8 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — 3rd-fewest in NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs Offense: Important Stats
The Chiefs averaged just 2.2 yards per play against tight coverage this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 3.8.
The Chiefs have averaged -0.69 epa per play against tight coverage since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: -0.47.
The Chiefs converted first downs on just 6 of 38 plays (16%) on plays up the middle in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Chiefs had a third down conversion rate of 52% in the 1st half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Philadelphia Eagles Offense: Important Stats
The Eagles started 27 drives inside opposing territory this season — most in NFL.
The Eagles averaged 13.8 yards per play against a light rush this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 6.9.
The Eagles threw the ball 40% of the time (448 Pass Attempts/1,114 plays) this season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Eagles averaged 8.1 yards per play on contested throws this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 5.3.
Kansas City Chiefs Defense: Important Stats
The Chiefs defense allowed an average of 1.7 yards after contact per carry (314 carries) to RBs this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 2.1.
The Chiefs defense allowed a passer rating of 96.2 on contested throws (72 Pass Attempts) this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 73.8.
The Chiefs defense allowed first downs on 75% of pass attempts on 3rd and short this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 55%.
The Chiefs defense has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 6 of 155 attempts (4%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 10%.
Philadelphia Eagles Defense: Important Stats
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 44% of pass attempts first read passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 52%.
The Eagles defense allowed just 5.8 yards per play against play action passes this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.5.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 38% of pass attempts from their own territory this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
The Eagles defense allowed successful plays on 52% of pass attempts open coverage this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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