- Six teams possess season win totals set at 10 wins or higher, including the Eagles.
- All four NFC West teams have win totals set at 7.5 wins or higher.
- A season after winning 12 games, the Commanders' season win total is set at 9.5.
NFL season win totals for the 2025-26 season are live at the BetMGM online sportsbook.
For those new to the concept, season win totals allow bettors to place a wager on how many wins a team will accumulate over the course of the regular season.
Using a predetermined number, bettors decide whether that team will amass a higher or lower number and bet accordingly.
Check out the full list of win total breakdowns below. NFL odds reflect the time of writing and are subject to movement.
2025-26 NFL Season Win Totals
| Team | Win Total | Over Price | Under Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7.5 | -145 | +120 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 11.5 | -118 | -102 |
| Buffalo Bills | 11.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Carolina Panthers | 6.5 | -120 | +100 |
| Chicago Bears | 8.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 9.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4.5 | -175 | +145 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 7.5 | -155 | +130 |
| Denver Broncos | 9.5 | -105 | -115 |
| Detroit Lions | 10.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Green Bay Packers | 9.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Houston Texans | 9.5 | +100 | -120 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 7.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 7.5 | -120 | +100 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 | -102 | -118 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 9.5 | -110 | -110 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8.5 | +130 | -155 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 8.5 | -150 | +125 |
| New England Patriots | 8.5 | -115 | -105 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5.5 | ||
| New York Giants | 5.5 | +120 | -145 |
| New York Jets | 5.5 | -155 | +130 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11.5 | -118 | -102 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 | +100 | -120 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 10.5 | +110 | -130 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8.5 | +115 | -140 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 9.5 | +105 | -125 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5.5 | -150 | +125 |
| Washington Commanders | 9.5 | -120 | +100 |
NFL Win Total Predictions
Detroit Lions Under 10.5 Wins (-110)
If the Lions clear this number, tip your cap to them. But between the schedule and personnel turnover, I question how they accomplish 11 or more victories.
After a second straight year winning the NFC North, Detroit faces a brutal schedule in 2025.
Not only do they face six divisional games against three teams with win totals set at 8.5 or higher, but their remaining schedule looks horrifying.
Even more terrifying for Lions fans is the schedule away from home.
Excluding the three divisional games, the Lions face the following opponents on the road: Cincinnati, Kansas City, Washington, Philadelphia, Baltimore and the Rams.
Buffalo Bills Over 11.5 Wins (-160)
While it’s a lot of juice to lay on a bet that won’t settle for a few months, all signs point to Buffalo clearing their win total for the fourth straight year.
It’s no secret the Bills own one of the best home-field advantages in the NFL. With Josh Allen as the starting quarterback, Buffalo owns a 42-21 record at home.
In road and neutral site contests, the Bills recorded a 34-22 record with Allen.
Just over the last three seasons: 21-2 at home, 16-11 everywhere else.
That comes into play in 2025, but it’s not just because the Bills receive a bonus home game. Largely, it’s because they face more difficult opposition at home.
Kansas City Chiefs Under 11.5 Wins (-118)
Some may call it a “championship” mentality, but I’ll call the Chiefs’ 2024 performance what it actually is: lucky.
Everyone knows the story by now. The Chiefs won 15 games in 2024, with five coming by three points or fewer and 10 by seven points or fewer.
With Patrick Mahomes as the starting quarterback, Kansas City finished 5-0 in the division with a four-point average margin of victory.
That’s simply unsustainable given the improvements made by the three chasers in the AFC West.
Philadelphia Eagles Under 11.5 Wins (-102)
Philadelphia built its 2024 success on the heels of massive defensive improvement. Under new coordinator Vic Fangio, the Eagles jumped from 29th to first in defensive DVOA.
However, I always approach backing teams with an average offense and top-tier defense with skepticism, as defense is more regressive year over year.
For Philadelphia, it’s especially true given the Eagles lost Milton Williams, Josh Sweat, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, and Oren Burks in free agency.
Regression should also be expected from the Philadelphia defense against a harder set of opposing offenses in 2025.
San Francisco 49ers Over 10.5 Wins (+110)
There is no question that 2024 was a season to forget in the Bay Area.
San Francisco regressed six wins a year after reaching the Super Bowl. However, it should not go ignored that significant injury issues help explain that decline.
No team lost more adjusted games to injury than the 49ers, per ftnfantasy.com.
At 141.2 adjusted games lost, San Francisco outpaced second by as big a gap as the gap between second and eighth!
Houston Texans Under 9.5 Wins (-125)
There’s a strong correlation, in my estimation, between how one evaluates this total and both the Jaguars Over Under Wins and Titans Over Under Wins.
Given that I’m bullish on both the Jaguars and Titans, there’s a natural expectation that the Texans will finish under this number in 2025.
Houston built their success last season on the heels of a strong defense. A season after finishing 16th in defensive DVOA, Houston jumped to third in 2025, per ftnfantasy.com.
Generally, defense is far more regressive year over year than offense, where Houston experienced a big dropoff in 2024.
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