- The 49ers are -10 point favorites vs the Packers
- Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- Watch this NFC Divisional Playoff game on FOX | FOXD
The Green Bay Packers (10-8) visit Levi’s Stadium to take on the San Francisco 49ers (9-8) on Jan. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Santa Clara, CA.
The 49ers are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -10 (-110).
The Packers vs. 49ers Over/Under is 50.5 total points for the game.
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Packers vs. 49ers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Packers | +10 -110 | 50.5 -110 | +350 |
| 49ers | -10 -110 | 50.5 -110 | -450 |
Packers vs. 49ers Prediction
The winning team model predicts the 49ers will win this playoff game game with 79.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Packers vs 49ers Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the 49ers will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.
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Best Packers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Packers players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jordan Love has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Longest Reception Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 59% ROI)
- Dontayvion Wicks has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jayden Reed has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.45 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jordan Love has hit the Passing Yards Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.80 Units / 69% ROI)
Best 49ers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for 49ers players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brock Purdy has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Brock Purdy has hit the Carries Under in his last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 71% ROI)
- Brock Purdy has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- George Kittle has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.75 Units / 61% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Packers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Christian McCaffrey | +275 |
| Malik Heath | |
| AJ Dillon | |
| Deebo Samuel | +750 |
| Aaron Jones | +750 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for 49ers vs Packers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Keisean Nixon | |
| Christian McCaffrey | -300 |
| Malik Heath | |
| AJ Dillon | |
| Aaron Jones | +100 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for 49ers vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jayden Reed | 41.5 -115 | 41.5 -115 |
| Tucker Kraft | 23.5 -120 | 23.5 -110 |
| George Kittle | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Aaron Jones | 19.5 -110 | 19.5 -120 |
| Brandon Aiyuk | 65.5 -115 | 65.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for 49ers vs Packers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Brock Purdy | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| Christian Mccaffrey | 91.5 -115 | 91.5 -115 |
| Deebo Samuel | 15.5 -120 | 15.5 -115 |
| Jordan Love | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 -110 |
| Aaron Jones | 65.5 -120 | 65.5 -115 |
Packers Best Bets:
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+5.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Green Bay Packers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
49ers Best Bets:
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 2H Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have scored first in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 19 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco 49ers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Packers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Packers went 9-8 (+0.2 Units / 1.06% ROI).
- Packers are 9-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 10.88% ROI
- Packers are 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
- Packers are 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / ROI
49ers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the 49ers went 9-7 (+1.4 Units / 7.55% ROI).
- 49ers are 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.05 Units / -3.92% ROI
- 49ers are 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 6.95% ROI
- 49ers are 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -15.51% ROI
Green Bay Packers: Keys to the Game vs. the San Francisco 49ers
The Packers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The 49ers have intercepted 22 passes this season — T-most in NFL.
The Packers are 4-1 (.800) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .611.
The Packers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .371.
The Packers are 7-3 (.700) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — 8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .557.
San Francisco 49ers: Keys to the Game vs. the Green Bay Packers
The 49ers are 11-2 (.846) when rushing for 120 or more yards this season — T-6th-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 128.9 rushing yards per game this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The 49ers are winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The 49ers are 10-1 (.909) when not throwing an interception this season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have intercepted 7 passes this season — 2nd-fewest in NFL.
The 49ers are 21-3 (.875) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — 3rd-best in NFL. The Packers have allowed an average of 134.7 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
Additional Matchup Notes for Green Bay Packers vs. San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers have run successful plays on 52.1% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field this season — best in NFL. Packers have allowed successful plays on 53.7% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season — worst in NFL.
The 49ers have gone three and out on 17.9% of their drives this season — 5th-best in NFL. Packers have forced three and outs on 16.2% of opponent drives this season — 3rd-worst in NFL.
The 49ers have run successful plays on 55.2% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL. Packers have allowed successful plays on 49.1% of pass attempts this season — 2nd-worst in NFL.
The Packers have a third down conversion rate of 27.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — best in NFL. The 49ers defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 23.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 5th-worst in NFL.
The Packers ran successful plays on just 27.3% of pass attempts on their opponent’s side of the field last week — 4th-worst in NFL. 49ers allowed successful plays on just 25.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field last week — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Packers are 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-4th-worst in NFL. The 49ers have intercepted 22 passes this season — T-most in NFL.
Green Bay Packers Offense: Important Stats
The Packers have scored on 50% of their drives in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 29%.
The Packers have run 21% of their plays in the red zone in the 2nd half this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 14%.
The Packers have run 53% of their plays in their opponent’s territory in the 3rd quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 41%.
The Packers went three and out on 5% of their drives in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 22%.
San Francisco 49ers Offense: Important Stats
The 49ers started 5 drives inside opposing territory in Week 18 — most in NFL.
The 49ers have averaged 9.3 yards per attempt (4,577 yards/491 attempts) this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.0.
The 49ers ran successful plays on 75% of pass attempts in Week 18 — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The 49ers have run successful plays on 55% of pass attempts this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
Green Bay Packers Defense: Important Stats
The Packers defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 29% on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Packers defense allowed first downs on just 29% of plays on 3rd and short in the last 4 weeks of the regular season — best in NFL; League Avg: 61%.
The Packers defense has averaged 0.4 interceptions per game (7/17) this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
The Packers have been flagged only 1 time on Defense in the red zone this season — fewest in NFL.
San Francisco 49ers Defense: Important Stats
The 49ers defense has allowed successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 1st quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
The 49ers defense has allowed scores on 20% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 33%.
Only 40% of the plays run against the 49ers have been in their own territory since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 44%.
The 49ers defense has averaged 1.3 interceptions per game (22/17) this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
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