- The Falcons are -2.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Seattle Seahawks (3-3-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Seahawks vs. Falcons Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.
Bet now on Falcons vs Seahawks & all NFL games with BetMGM
Seahawks vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Seahawks | +2.5 -105 | 51 -110 | +125 |
Falcons | -2.5 -115 | 51 -120 | -150 |
Seahawks vs. Falcons Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Seahawks vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on Falcons vs Seahawks and all NFL games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
- Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Sam Howell has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Sam Howell has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI).
- Seahawks are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -18.26% ROI
- Seahawks are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Seahawks are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- Falcons are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 22.87% ROI
- Falcons are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Seahawks were 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks were 6-4 (.600) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks were 1-3 (.250) when losing at least one fumble last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Seahawks were 4-7 (.364) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Falcons were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Falcons were 3-5 (.375) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Falcons were 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Falcons were 4-7 (.364) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons targeted WRs 39% of the time (209 Pass Attempts/530 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons have targeted WRs 47% of the time (345 Pass Attempts/738 plays) since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons have averaged 0.49 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.
The Falcons have averaged 0.82 epa per play against a heavy rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Seahawks defense have forced three and outs on 36% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (5/195) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Falcons defense has allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards this season — fewest in NFL.
The Falcons defense has allowed scores on 61% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Falcons defense has averaged 0.8 sacks per game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.
Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,500? Bet now on Falcons vs Seahawks and all NFL games with BetMGM
More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
More NFL Odds at BetMGM
Take your football entertainment to the next level with NFL betting at the online sportsbook.
From futures like Chiefs Super Bowl odds, Lions odds to win the division, or Ravens playoff odds, to weekly odds like spreads, moneylines, and over/under totals, thereโs something for everyone.
And with the best sportsbook promotions, you could land a welcome offer, sports betting Odds Boost, or a Parlay Boost! You can also check out NFL picks and predictions and updated Super Bowl predictions throughout the year.
Log in to your BetMGM account today โ or sign up for a new account via the online sportsbook or BetMGM iOS app or BetMGM Android app โ to start betting!