- The Falcons are -2.5 point favorites vs the Seahawks
- Total (Over/Under): 51 points
- Watch this game on FOX
The Seattle Seahawks (3-3-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (4-2-0) on Oct. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
The Falcons are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Seahawks vs. Falcons Over/Under is 51 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Seahawks | +2.5 -105 | 51 -110 | +125 |
| Falcons | -2.5 -115 | 51 -120 | -150 |
Seahawks vs. Falcons Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Falcons will win this game with 65.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Seahawks vs Falcons Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Falcons will cover the spread with 63.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
- Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- Sam Howell has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Sam Howell has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drake London has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kirk Cousins has hit the Interceptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 away games (+3.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Falcons Best Bets:
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks art 1-4 (-3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI).
- Seahawks are 3-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.1 Units / -18.26% ROI
- Seahawks are 5-1 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Seahawks are 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.5 Units / ROI
Falcons Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Falcons are 3-3 (-0.4 Units / -5.97% ROI).
- Falcons are 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 22.87% ROI
- Falcons are 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Falcons are 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Seahawks were 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks were 6-4 (.600) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks were 1-3 (.250) when losing at least one fumble last season — T-6th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .382.
The Seahawks were 4-7 (.364) when rushing less than 25 times last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .276.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Falcons were 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season — T-3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .378.
The Falcons were 3-5 (.375) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — T-4th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .650.
The Falcons were 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties last season — T-7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Falcons were 4-7 (.364) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .464.
Seattle Seahawks Offense: Important Stats
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 68% of plays against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 39%.
The Seahawks averaged 0.63 epa per play against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.04.
The Seahawks ran successful plays on 71% of pass attempts against a light rush last season — best in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
The Seahawks have a third down conversion rate of 0% on play action passes since the 2023 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 48%.
Atlanta Falcons Offense: Important Stats
The Falcons targeted WRs 39% of the time (209 Pass Attempts/530 plays) last season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons have targeted WRs 47% of the time (345 Pass Attempts/738 plays) since the 2023 season — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 57%.
The Falcons have averaged 0.49 epa per play against a heavy rush since the 2023 season — best in NFL; League Avg: -0.09.
The Falcons have averaged 0.82 epa per play against a heavy rush this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: -0.12.
Seattle Seahawks Defense: Important Stats
The Seahawks defense has allowed successful plays on 11% of pass attempts with a light front this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 7% of opponent drives in the 2nd half last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Seahawks defense forced three and outs on 2% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Seahawks defense have forced three and outs on 36% of opponent drives this season — best in NFL; League Avg: 21%.
Atlanta Falcons Defense: Important Stats
The Falcons defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (5/195) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 7%.
The Falcons defense has allowed 8 receptions for 20+ yards this season — fewest in NFL.
The Falcons defense has allowed scores on 61% of opponent drives in the 3rd quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 32%.
The Falcons defense has averaged 0.8 sacks per game this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 2.5.
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More NFL Betting Predictions:
- Anytime & First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Receiving Yards Prop Predictions
- Rushing Yards Prop Predictions
- Passing Yards Prop Predictions
- Receptions Made Prop Predictions
- Rushing Attempts Prop Predictions
- Passing Touchdowns Prop Predictions
- QB Interception Prop Predictions
- Field Goals Made Prop Predictions
- NFL Betting Previews: Every Game
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